Latest news from the CIS

On June 11, at 12:00 p.m., the preview of the results of the study 'Postelectoral del País Vasco. Elecciones autonómicas 2024' will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

The CIS has translated for the first time into Spanish the most recognized work by John Millar 'The origin of the distinction of ranks', which has been translated by the Professor of Sociology at the UNED, Ramón Cotarelo. This book should be considered one of the first social stratification texts in history, which should be included in the bibliography of Sociology. 'The origin of the distinction of ranks' is not a study only about social classes, but about hierarchies, about the positions of authority and obedience in societies, a broader concept that also includes the power relations of men over women , of parents over children, of chiefs over tribes, of lords over servants, of sovereigns over vassals. John Millar was also a pioneer in the application of an economistic vision to the evolution of institutions, writing a classic book of which Werner Sombart said that it is one of the best and most complete works of Sociology. This work by John Millar dates from 1779, three years after the appearance of 'The Wealth of Nations' by his teacher Adam Smith.

The CIS (Spanish Centre for Sociological Research) has conducted a survey on the campaign for the European Parliament elections to be held on June 9th. According to this study, the PSOE (Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) would be the leading party, obtaining between 31.6% and 33.2% of the vote. The PP (People's Party) would obtain between 28.3% and 30.5%, VOX, in third place, would obtain between 9.9% and 11%, SUMAR between 5.4% and 7.1%, 'Se acabó la fiesta' (The Party's Over) between 4.9% and 5.7%, 'Ahora Repúblicas' (Now Republics) between 3.7% and 4.1%, and Podemos between 3.6% and 3.9%. 71.1% of those surveyed say they will definitely vote on June 9th. When it comes to voting… 38.2% of Spaniards say that “in the European elections it may be convenient to vote for a different party than the one voted for in the general elections”, 32.3% say that “they always vote for the same party in the European and general elections” and 23% say that they “usually” always vote for the same party in both elections. 48.6% decide their vote “well before the start of the election campaign,” 14.1% decide “at the beginning of the election campaign,” 20.8% decide “during the last week of the campaign,” 6.8% during the day of reflection, and 7.2% on election day itself. Furthermore, 66.7% say they have already decided how they will vote on June 9th, 31% “are still undecided,” and 2% say they will not vote. 65.9% say that the most important thing when voting is the political party, 22.3% say that it is the candidate, 6% say that it is both and only 2% say that it is the electoral program. 31.9% say they would like the PSOE to win these European elections, 24.7% want the PP, 8.6% of voters want VOX, and 4.1% want SUMAR. 57% give more importance to issues related to the current political situation in Spain, compared to 29.3% who say that issues related to the European Union and the European Parliament will be the most important when they go to vote. Furthermore, 25.5% of voters say that the PSOE is the party best presenting proposals of greatest interest to Spain in this campaign. This puts them ahead of the PP, which is considered by 18.9% to be the party with the most interesting proposals. When respondents were asked about their personal interests, the PSOE also received the most support in terms of proposals, according to 23%, followed by the PP with 18.3% and VOX with 9.4%. Candidates The PSOE candidate, Teresa Ribera, is the only one to pass with a 5.2, followed by the PP candidate, Dolors Montserrat, with a 4.47, and in third place is the SUMAR candidate, Estrella Galán, with a 3.90. The Podemos candidate, Irene Montero, comes in fourth position with a 3.55. Regarding who is the most prepared candidate to raise relevant issues for Spain in the EU, 28.5% said Teresa Ribera, 18.6% said Dolors Montserrat, 7.7% said Jorge Buxadé (VOX) and 6.5% said Irene Montero. Regarding the trust they generate, Teresa Ribera is the most with 28.2%, followed by Dolors Montserrat with 19.7%, Jorge Buxadé in third place (8.4%) and Irene Montero with 6.3%. Media 44.5% say they are following election-related news and topics with “great or considerable interest,” compared to 51.4% who say they are following them with “little or no interest.” And 3.3% say they don't care. 41.4% say that what they see and hear in the media has helped them "see the differences between the various parties," while 30.2% of respondents say that the media helps them "get to know the candidates better." However, regarding their voting decision, 84.6% say that what they see and hear in the media has "little or no" influence on changing their final vote. The press, both in print and digital formats, is the medium most used by Spaniards to stay informed about the European elections, according to 64.9% of those surveyed. Television comes in second place (64.6%), and social media is third (48.8%), ahead of radio (46.7%). These and other data are collected in the European election campaign survey conducted from May 23 to 30 with 7,491 interviews.  

On June 3, at 13:00 p.m., the preview of the results of the study 'Campaña de las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024' will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

The Sociological Research Center (CIS) will be present at the 83rd Madrid Book Fair, which will be held in the Retiro Park, between May 31 and June 16, 2024. The CIS will be located in booth 314 of the Retiro Park, a booth shared with number 313, belonging to the Center for Political and Constitutional Studies (CEPC), where you will also find books related to our topic. In her . Among them, the Spanish Journal of Sociological Research (REIS) and numerous books belonging to our 10 collections on various topics stand out. You can consult all of these works in the Publications Catalog and take advantage of the presence of the CIS at the Book Fair to purchase those copies that interest you with a 10% discount. If you prefer, we also have a Bookstore, with home delivery service. The hours of our booth (314) will be: Working days from Monday to Thursday from 10:30 a.m. to 2:00 p.m. and from 5:00 p.m. to 9:00 p.m. Friday to Sunday from 10:30 a.m. to 3:00 p.m. and from 5:00 p.m. to 9:00 p.m. On Friday, June 7, we will close at 11:30 p.m.    

The study 3458 'Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The professor of Sociology, Angel Belzunegui, has been in charge of presenting and moderating the presentations on this second day of the conference. The first intervention was that of the professor, Sandra Fachelli, and the professor, Pedro López-Roldán, both of whom discussed social inequalities in the labor markets in Spain. Fachelli explained that “the fluidity of the market in Spain has been driven by the incorporation of women into the labor market.” The professor of Economics, José Pérez Montiel, focused his presentation on the distribution of income and social inequality. The professor has asserted that “Spain is one of the EU countries with the most inequality in income distribution” after his research. The Emeritus Professor and president of the CIS, José Félix Tezanos, has assured that "we must analyze whether the economic factors that allowed us to build the models on which society is sustained." “We are seeing that the new generations are experiencing a very accelerated process of downward social mobility, and that is disturbing,” said Tezanos, who also stressed that “age is a stratification factor in our society.” And he assured that: “gender is also a factor, women continue to have fewer job opportunities than men.”  

The study3456 'Campaña de las elecciones autonómicas de Cataluña 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The study 3453 'Preelectoral de Cataluña. Elecciones autonómicas 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The study 3457 'Barómetro de mayo 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The study 3500 'Encuesta flash situación política española' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The CIS has carried out the pre-election survey for the elections to the European Parliament that will be held on June 9. According to this study, the PSOE would be the first force and would achieve between 21 and 24 seats. The PP would obtain between 18 and 20, VOX, in third position, would obtain between 5 and 6, SUMAR 4 seats, Podemos between 2 and 3, and the Ahora Repúblicas coalition between 2 and 3 seats. 75.2% of those surveyed believe that belonging to the European Union “has rather benefited us” as a country compared to 19.4% who believe that “it has rather harmed us.” Regarding the elections on June 9, 64.3% say they are “very or quite interested,” compared to 34.8% who say they are “little or not at all interested.” Taking into account the international context of instability, 62.1% consider these elections more important than other previous European elections. Young people from 18 to 24 years old 63% consider themselves little or not at all informed about matters related to the European Union, being the age group with the highest percentage in this sense. Although 62.6% are very or quite interested in these European elections. 82.4% believe that belonging to the European Union has benefited Spain, being the age group with the highest percentage in this sense. 51% say they feel “European and Spanish citizens at the same time”, the highest percentage among the different age groups. When voting in the European elections, they will give more importance to issues related to the current political situation in Spain (70.8%) compared to issues related to the European Union and the European Parliament (25.75). And 43.3% think that in the European elections it may be convenient to vote for a different party than the one voted for in the general elections. European Parliament 74.3% would like the European Parliament to have a more important role, while 16.1% want it to remain the same. 7.5% want it to have a less important role. Regarding the future of the European Parliament, in 5 years, 78.3% of the population wants the institution to have a more important role, 12.1% want it to have the same role and 7.6% want its role be less. When asked about the party that best defends the interests of Spain in the European Parliament, for 30.6% it is the PSOE, 22.8% say the PP, 10.3% say VOX, and 5.3% ADD. 40.4% of those surveyed believe that it will be the PP that wins the next European elections, but when asking who they would like to win, the perception changes, 32.4% assure that they want the PSOE to win these elections. elections, with the PP being the second option for 25.4% of those surveyed. EU related news 66% are interested in news related to the European Union "a lot or quite a lot" compared to 32.7% who say "little or not at all." 45.5% consider that they are “very or fairly informed” about matters related to the EU, while more say that they are “little or not at all informed” - 53.7% - about these matters. When it comes to voting… 63.5% assure that the most important thing when voting in the European elections will be “the issues related to the current political situation in Spain” and for 29.6% those “related to the EU and the European Parliament” . Regarding the voting decision, 35.7% indicate that they “always vote for the same party in both the European elections and the general elections”, 21.9% “usually vote for the same party in both the European elections and the general elections”. ”, and 35.5% affirm that “it may be advisable to vote for a different party than the one voted for in the general elections.” 59% decide their vote “long before the start of the electoral campaign”, 10.4% decide it “at the beginning of the electoral campaign”, 16.5% decide it “during the last week of the campaign”, 6.1% during the day of reflection, and 6.2% on election day itself. Reasons to choose a party 49.7% decide the party "because it best represents the ideas of people like him", 29.6% because of "the general situation of Europe in the world" and 29.2% choose it "because the effects on national politics. Candidates The PSOE candidate, Teresa Ribera, is the only one who approves with a 5.3, followed by the PP candidate, Dolors Montserrat, with a 4.5 and, in third place, is the SUMAR candidate, Estrella Galán, with a 3.89. Regarding who has the best candidate for the European Parliament, 23.8% have assured that the PSOE, 20% that the PP, 8.4% VOX and 3.8% SUMAR. Sense of belonging 44.9% say that they feel like a “European and Spanish citizen at the same time”, 26.6% say that “especially a Spanish citizen”, 21.3% “a citizen of the world” and 4.7% “ especially European citizens.” Election campaign 77.8% believe that “the majority of people have already decided on their vote and the campaign will have little influence”, and personally, 78.7% affirm that “they have already decided what they will do and the campaign will not influence them. Only 15.7% assure that “the campaign will greatly influence their decision.” These and other data are collected in the pre-election survey of the European elections carried out from May 8 to 17 with 6,434 interviews.

On May 23, at 12,30 p.m., the preview of the results of the study 'Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024' will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

The study 3454 'Índice de Confianza del Consumidor (ICC). Abril 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The CIS has conducted the monthly barometer with the usual questions such as voting intentions, problems affecting Spaniards, international conflicts, among other issues. The PSOE is once again the leading party in voting estimates with 35.5% of the votes, the PP would achieve 30.4%, VOX would be the third force with 10.2%, SUMAR would get 8% and Podemos would obtain 2.2%. Preferences regarding leaders Pedro Sánchez is the preferred candidate for Prime Minister for 27.8% of Spaniards—2 points higher than the previous month—15.3 points ahead of Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who is favored by 12.5%. Santiago Abascal is the favorite for 6.2%, Yolanda Díaz for 5.9%, and Isabel Díaz Ayuso for 5.1%. Among the respondents who expressed their opinion, the gap widens: 44.4% of those surveyed prefer Pedro Sánchez as Prime Minister, giving him a 24.5-point lead over Feijóo, who is preferred by 19.9%. Santiago Abascal comes in third place with 9.9%, followed by Yolanda with 9.4%, and Isabel Díaz Ayuso with 8.1%. Regarding the trust generated by the main leaders, Pedro Sánchez inspires "a lot or quite a lot" of trust in 30.3% of Spaniards, compared to the leader of the opposition, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who inspires "a lot or quite a lot" in 22.2%. Regarding the evaluation of leaders, Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez is the best rated with a 4.39, followed by Yolanda Díaz with a 4.19, Alberto Núñez Feijóo with a 4.01, and Santiago Abascal with a 2.84. The announcement by the Prime Minister Regarding the decision announced by President Pedro Sánchez on April 29th to reconsider whether he would remain in office, 67.9% of those surveyed were aware of the news. Of those who knew about the decision, 36.8% viewed Sánchez's continued leadership "very positively or positively," 20.5% viewed it "neither positively nor negatively," and 41.9% viewed it "negatively or very negatively." The feelings that politics provokes in Spaniards today are: distrust in the first place (37.6%), irritation in the second place (27.4%) and interest (23.1%). Regarding the war in Gaza, 70.4% of those surveyed said they were “very or quite” worried, a percentage that rose 3 points compared to last month. 13.6% said they were “not very or not at all” worried, and 14.7% said they were “somewhat” worried. Regarding Russia's invasion of Ukraine, 71.6% say they are "very or quite worried," 14.7% say they are "not very or not at all worried," and 12.5% say they are "somewhat" worried. Climate change worries 74.6% "quite or very worried." Economic situation and main problems 61.5% of people say their personal financial situation is “very good or good,” compared to 27.4% who say it is “bad or very bad” and 9.9% who say it is fair. In contrast, when asked about the economic situation in Spain, only 32.8% say it is “very good or good,” while 58% say it is “bad or very bad.” 6.9% say it is fair. The problems that most affect Spaniards personally at the moment are the economic crisis and economic issues (32.7%), healthcare, which remains the second biggest problem compared to last month (18.3%), problems related to the quality of employment (14.7%) and unemployment (14.3%). These and other data are included in the monthly barometer survey conducted from May 3 to 8, based on 4,013 interviews. You can consult the complete data on the website of the Center for Sociological Research (www.cis.es).

On May 14, from 1:30 p.m., the preview of the results of the 'Barómetro de mayo 2024' will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

Consumer confidence stands at 84.5 points, which represents 2 points more than the previous month's figure. This increase in the index is due to the evolution of its two components: on the one hand, the assessment of the current situation rises by 1.7 points and, on the other, the assessment of expectations grows by 2.3 points, compared to the month of March. . In relation to the month of April of the previous year, the interannual evolution of the CCI is also positive: it increases by 11.6 points. This improvement is due to the increase of 14.8 points in the assessment of the current situation in the last year and an improvement of 8.3 points in future expectations compared to April 2023. As for the valuation index of the current situation, it reaches 77.6 points this month, with a growth of 1.7 points in relation to that obtained last March. This represents an increase in relative terms in the evolution of its three components: the assessment of the current economic situation rises 3 points compared to the month of March, standing at 67.6 points; while the assessment of the situation of households grows 1.2 points, reaching 85.6 points and the assessment of the labor market reaches 79.7 points, which represents a slight increase compared to March of 0.8 points . The Expectations Index reaches 91.4 points this April, a result 2.3 points higher than the 89.1 points registered in the month of March, which represents an increase of 2.6% in relative terms. This result is due to the evolution of its three components: the assessment of the evolution of the economy in the future with 83.2 points shows an increase of 3.2 points compared to March, the assessment of the future situation of households presents a slight increase of 0.3 points, reaching 103.9 points and expectations about the future of the labor market increase 3.5 points, reaching 87.1 points this April. The CIS ICC data are based on a representative sample of the Spanish population of 3,006 interviews carried out between April 22 and 24.  

On May 13, from 13:30 p.m., the preview of the results of the ICC (Índice de Confianza del Consumidor) will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). The ICC collects monthly the assessment of the recent evolution and expectations of Spanish consumers related to their family economy, employment and their savings and consumption possibilities. For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

The Sociological Research Center (CIS) did not receive any notification yesterday from the Central Electoral Board about the file and/or the sanctions that have been mentioned in some social media. This agreement was formally known today, May 7, at 12:42 p.m. The CIS learned through social media that such actions were due to a complaint from the Popular Party. The CIS has not breached article 69.8 of the LOREG, nor instruction 1/2024 of February 1, 2024, which is referred to in the JEC's written action. In the aforementioned CIS flash survey, voting intentions were asked about the intention to vote in the case of a supposed general election, but voting intentions were not asked about the elections in Catalonia, nor for the European elections. It must be remembered that there are currently no general elections called, nor, therefore, is there any obligation for the CIS regarding the electoral periods of this type of election. The reported survey includes, like others carried out by the CIS, several common questions about voting intention, ideological self-location, level of education, religious beliefs, employment situation, size of habitat, etc. In all monthly barometers, the CIS asks a question about voting intention. This question is similar to the one included in the Flash Survey on the Spanish political situation. And, despite having been carried out during the electoral period of the Galician and Basque elections, it has not been the subject of questioning, nor has it been understood as an activity that could affect the objectivity or transparency of any of them. This center does not understand the difference that can exist in elections whose call has nothing to do with the question asked. In any case, as stipulated in article 69.8 of the LOREG, the CIS publishes the results of its surveys immediately and in a completely transparent manner, and on the occasion in question said data could be consulted on the CIS website from on Monday, April 29 at 2:00 p.m. That is, much less time than the 48 business hours required by the LOREG. Given the existing situation, the CIS has asked the State Attorney's Office to file a contentious administrative appeal against the agreement of the Central Electoral Board of May 6, 2024.