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The PSC will win the Catalan elections and distance itself from Junts and Esquerra
The PSC will win the Catalan elections and distance itself from Junts and Esquerra
  • 06 MAY 2024

The CIS has carried out a survey for the elections that are going to be held in Catalonia on May 12. The PSC-PSOE would be the first force and would achieve between 29.8 and 33.2%, Junts is the second force and would reach between 15.4 and 18.1% and ERC between 15.2 and 17. 9%. The Popular Party would be the fourth force with an estimate between 9.6 and 11.9%. VOX would remain between the estimated 5.8 and 7.5% in percentage of the vote. In Commons Add between 5 and 6.7%. The CUP with between 3.2 and 4.6%. And Aliança Catalana between 3 and 4.4%. 46.5% of Catalans acknowledge that they are following the news and topics related to the upcoming elections with “a lot or quite a lot of interest”, compared to 50.3% who say they have “little or no interest”. 70.2% say that television is the medium through which they have received the most information about programs and proposals for these elections, 62.7% say that the press - both in digital and printed formats - is the medium through which they have received the most information. used, and 47.9% answered that social networks. When voting For Catalans, the political party is more important when voting in these elections (59.7%), than the candidate presented by the party (24.1%). 6.4% assure that they give the same importance to the party as to the candidate. And only 3.9% will give greater importance to the electoral program. Fidelity and voting decision 22.4% of Catalans affirm that they always vote for the same party, 24.9% that they generally “tend to” always vote for the same party and 45.9% according to “whatever suits them best in that moment”, they vote for one party or another, or they do not vote. 46% affirm that they decide their vote long before the start of the electoral campaign, 12.1% do so at the beginning of the campaign, 22.8% during the last week of the campaign, 6.9% during the day of reflection and 9% on election day itself. Furthermore, 1.3% are already clear that they will abstain. Furthermore, 77.3% of Catalans assure that they will go to vote “with complete certainty” on May 12, 5 points more than in the previous survey on these elections, when 72.3% made this statement. Candidate evaluation The PSOE candidate, Salvador Illa, is the best rated with 5.42 and is the only one who approves, in second place is the Esquerra candidate, Pere Aragonés, with 4.77. In third position is the En Comú Podem candidate, Jessica Albiach, with a 4.30. Below 4, is the Junts candidate, Carles Puigdemont, with 3.86. Illa once again heads the list as “the candidate most prepared to resolve the relevant issues in Catalonia”, according to 25.8% of respondents, followed by Carles Puigdemont (14.8%) and Per Aragonés (10.95). The candidate who inspires the most confidence is Salvador Illa (25.8%), Carles Puigdemont (14%) and Pere Aragonés (11.1%). Preference as President 27.3% want Salvador Illa to be the President of the Generalitat after the regional elections, 16.9% want it to be Puigdemont and 12.8% want it to be the Esquerra candidate, Pere Aragonés. Matters of interest for Catalonia The PSC-PSOE is the party that is raising issues of most interest to Catalonia in this campaign (22%), followed by ERC (12.8%) and Cat-Junts+ (11%). As for the party that is raising issues of personal interest to voters, the PSC-PSOE appears in first position (20.6%), followed by ERC (11.3%) and Cat-Junts+ (10.9%). These and other data are collected in the pre-election survey carried out from April 24 to 30 with 4,051 interviews.

Information Note
Next delivery of the results preview of study 3500 ‘Encuesta flash situación política española'
Next delivery of the results preview of study 3500 ‘Encuesta flash situación política española'
  • 29 APR 2024

On April 29, at 14:00 p.m., the preview of the results of the study 'Situación política española' ("Flash" survey with 1,809 interviews conducted on Friday, April 26, 2024), will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

Press releases Study update
The PSC would win the elections with an advantage over ERC and Junts
The PSC would win the elections with an advantage over ERC and Junts
  • 25 APR 2024

The CIS has carried out the pre-election survey for the elections that will be held in Catalonia on May 12. The PSC-PSOE would be the first force and would achieve between 26.9% and 28.3%, ERC would obtain between 17.7% and 19.5% and Junts would reach between 16.3% and 18.1%. The Popular Party would be the fourth force with an estimate of 9.2% and 10.6%. VOX would remain between the estimated 6.3% and 7.5% in percentage of the vote. In Commons Add between 5.5% and 6.4%. The CUP with between 3.7% and 4.6%. And Aliança Catalana, between 2.6% and 3.4%. 44.4% of Catalans acknowledge that they are following the news and topics related to the upcoming elections with “a lot or quite a lot of interest”, compared to 54.5% who say they have “little or no interest”. When voting The issues specific to Catalonia will be the most important thing for 65% of Catalans when it comes to voting, while the issues specific to Spain will be what marks the decision of 26.5% of voters. 5.6% affirm that they will take into account both the problems of the country and those of the community. For Catalans, the political party is more important when voting in these elections (60.8%), than the candidate presented by the party (25.9%). 3.5% assure that they give the same importance to the party as to the candidate. And only 1.8% will give greater importance to the electoral program. Fidelity and voting decision 19% of Catalans affirm that they always vote for the same party, 25.3% that they generally “tend to” always vote for the same party and 51.2% according to “whatever suits them most at that moment” , they vote for one party or another, or they don't vote. 48% affirm that they decide their vote long before the start of the electoral campaign, 12.4% do so at the beginning of the campaign, 22% during the last week of the campaign, 7% during the day of reflection and a 7.2% on the same day of the elections. Furthermore, 1.5% are already clear that they will abstain. Furthermore, 72.3% of Catalans assure that they will go to vote “with complete certainty” on May 12. Management of the Catalan Government Regarding the management of ERC at the head of the government, 30.7% believe that it has been “very good or good”, compared to 58.9% who say that it has been “bad or very bad”. 7.8% think it's fair. As for the opposition, the best valued work is that of the PSC, since for 34% of Catalans it has been “very good or good”, as for that of Junts, only 17.2% consider that they have done a “very good or good” job. Regarding the opposition of En Comú Podem, 27.1% consider that they have done a “very good or good” job. And that of the PP has been “very good or good” for 14.8%. Regarding the political situation, 21.7% believe that it is now “better or much better” than 3 years ago, but 42.7% assure that it is worse. And 34.4% believe it is the same. Regarding the economic situation, only 17.6% say that it is “better or much better” than 3 years ago, 35.2% believe that it is “worse or much worse” and 37.8% say that it is equal. PSC, the party most capable of governing in Catalonia The PSC is the party “most capable of governing in Catalonia”, with a percentage of 26%. ERC is the party that “best defends the interests of Catalonia” for 22% of those surveyed. And the PSC is the one that “best represents the people's ideas” for 21.8%. amnesty law 37.6% of Catalans believe that the Amnesty Law has contributed to improving coexistence in Catalonia, 36.1% say that the situation remains the same and 23.8% believe that it has worsened. 46% say they “feel as Spanish as they do Catalan”, 21.8% say they “feel more Catalan than Spanish”, 17.3% feel “only Catalan” and 5.9% “only Spanish”. Candidate evaluation The PSOE candidate, Salvador Illa, is the best rated with 5.35 and is the only one who approves, in second place is the Esquerra candidate, Pere Aragonés, with 4.86. In third position is the En Comú Podem candidate, Jessica Albiach, with a 4.16. Below 4, is the Junts candidate, Carles Puigdemont, with 3.83. Illa once again heads the list as “the candidate most prepared to resolve the relevant issues in Catalonia”, according to 25.3% of respondents. And he is also the candidate who inspires the most confidence of all (23%). Preference as President 24.8% want Salvador Illa to be the President of the Generalitat after the regional elections, 17% want it to be Puigdemont and 14.6% want it to be the Esquerra candidate, Pere Aragonés. As for who Catalans prefer as president of the Spanish government at the moment, 42.6% prefer Pedro Sánchez. In second place, 11.5% point to Alberto Núñez Feijóo, and in third place to Yolanda Díaz with 8.6%. Main problems in Catalonia Independence is the main problem for 20.5% of those surveyed, followed by political problems in general for 16.5% and for 6.4% it is the economic crisis and rising prices. These and other data are collected in the pre-election survey carried out from April 11 to 22 with 8,905 interviews.

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Provisional resolution of the Sociological Research Center for the award of subsidies for training and research in matters of interest to the Organization 2024
Provisional resolution of the Sociological Research Center for the award of subsidies for training and research in matters of interest to the Organization 2024
  • 24 APR 2024

Report of April 23, 2024 from the Instructing Body, proposing the provisional resolution of the Sociological Research Center, which makes public the award of subsidies for training and research in matters of interest to the Body for the year 2024

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Next delivery of the results preview of study 3453 ‘Preelectoral de Cataluña. Elecciones autonómicas 2024'
Next delivery of the results preview of study 3453 ‘Preelectoral de Cataluña. Elecciones autonómicas 2024'
  • 24 APR 2024

On April 25, starting at 12:30 p.m., the preview of the results of the study 'Preelectoral de Cataluña. Elecciones autonómicas 2024' will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

Press releases Study update
54% of Spaniards feel they are European and Spanish citizens at the same time
54% of Spaniards feel they are European and Spanish citizens at the same time
  • 23 APR 2024

The CIS has carried out a survey on the perception that Spaniards have of the European Union, and the interest it generates. 82.9% recognize that the decisions made within the European Union “affect us a lot or quite a lot”, compared to 15.9% who believe that “little or not at all”. 65.3% of Spaniards are very or quite interested in EU news, although 58.3% say they are “little or not at all informed” about matters related to the EU and 40.9% say they are “very or fairly informed.” About membership of the Union 63.9% believe that things would be worse for us economically if Spain were not within the European Union. Only 17.7% believe that we would be better off and 14.1% assure that we would be the same. Belonging to the EU is more beneficial for issues such as culture” (79.9%); “employment opportunities” (73.2%); for “opportunities to do business” (77.4%), and for Spain's weight in the world (76.5%). Regarding “prices of goods and consumption” 48.4% agree that being within the Union is more harmful. Measures to improve the EU Regarding the state of the European Union, 54.2% believe that “it needs some changes, but not radical ones”, 38.6% say that it “needs profound changes”, and only 4.1% that “it is fine”. how are you doing". For 47.2%, the most priority measure that the EU should take is “setting a European minimum wage.” Secondly, 47.1% believe that we must prioritize “advancing the social and political rights of European Union citizens.” And 30.7% indicate that the most important thing is to “strengthen the common foreign and security policy.” 87.1% say they are in favor of “a policy of common rights and obligations” in the European Union. 83.3% to reinforce the common European foreign policy. 80.7% affirm that it would be necessary to “contribute financially to finance a European welfare state.” And 63.5% are in favor of the creation of a common European army. Future of the European Union Regarding the future of the EU, 32.9% consider that “the economy and employment” is the most important thing, for 16.9% social protection and the welfare state, while for 15.7% Democracy, its values and the rule of law are important. Another fact reflected in the survey is that the last word on important decisions should always be with the member states (65.2%) and that the EU should have a true federal government that makes decisions (30.6%). Sense of belonging 53.9% say they feel like “a European and Spanish citizen at the same time”, 35.7% say “especially a Spanish citizen” and 4.6% “especially a European citizen”. 1.3% who say they are “citizens of the world”. Regarding the issues that Spaniards would like to be addressed by the European Parliament, 33.6% say “support for the economy and job creation”; 32.4% “the fight against poverty and social exclusion” and in third place “public health” for 31.4%. European Institutions The European Parliament is the one that citizens have heard about the most (94.3%), followed by the European Central Bank (92.6%), the European Commission is the best known to 84.8%, the Council of the European Union for 83.1% and the least known institution is the European Council (73.4%). Regarding the trust that these institutions deserve among Spaniards who know them, the European Parliament is the one they trust the most with a score of 5.94 out of 10, followed by the European Commission with a 5.88. Regarding the probability of going to vote on June 9 in the elections to the European Parliament, 53.3% assure that they will do so “with all probability.” These and other data are found in the study 'Opinions and attitudes towards the European Union' which is available on our website (www.cis.es). The field work was carried out from April 9 to 13, with a sample of 3,750 interviews. For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

Information Note
Study 3451 'Campaña de las elecciones autonómicas del País Vasco 2024' is available
Study 3451 'Campaña de las elecciones autonómicas del País Vasco 2024' is available
  • 22 APR 2024

The study 3451 'Campaña de las elecciones autonómicas del País Vasco 2024'' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

Study
The ICC stands at 82.5 points in March, 4 points higher than in February
The ICC stands at 82.5 points in March, 4 points higher than in February
  • 16 APR 2024

Consumer confidence stands at 82.5 points, 4.1 points higher than the previous month. This increase is due to the performance of its two components: the assessment of the current situation rose by 5.3 points, and the assessment of expectations increased by 2.8 points compared to February. As for the current situation assessment index, it reached 76 points this month, a 5.3-point increase compared to February. This rise reflects the evolution of its three components: the assessment of the current economic situation increased by 8.2 points compared to February, reaching 64.6 points; the assessment of household finances grew by 2.6 points, reaching 84.4 points; and the assessment of the labor market reached 78.9 points, 5.1 points higher than the previous month. The Expectations Index reached 89.1 points this March, a result 2.8 points higher than the 86.3 points recorded in February. This result is due to the performance of its three components: the assessment of the future state of the economy at 80 points, the assessment of the future situation of households showing a slight increase of 0.9 points, reaching 103.6 points, and expectations regarding the future of the labor market rising by 3.1 points, reaching 83.6 points this March. The CIS ICC data is based on a representative sample of the Spanish population of 3,024 interviews conducted between March 25 and 27 .

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Next delivery of the results preview of the study 3449 'Índice de Confianza del Consumidor (ICC) de marzo 2024'
Next delivery of the results preview of the study 3449 'Índice de Confianza del Consumidor (ICC) de marzo 2024'
  • 15 APR 2024

On April 16, at 13:00 p.m., the preview of the results of the ICC (Índice de Confianza del Consumidor) will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). The ICC collects monthly the assessment of the recent evolution and expectations of Spanish consumers related to their family economy, employment and their savings and consumption possibilities. For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

Press releases ICC update
Sociology students visit the CIS to learn about its 60-year history
Sociology students visit the CIS to learn about its 60-year history
  • 12 APR 2024

On Friday, April 12, students from the Master's in Consumer Affairs and Trade and the Social Theatre Laboratory Classroom, from the Complutense University of Madrid, in a visit organized by Professor Dr. María José Díaz Santiago, from the Departmental Unit of Applied Sociology, of the Faculty of Economics and Business, visited the CIS facilities and learned about the CIS 60th Anniversary Exhibition. We also received a visit from a delegation of 31 students from the Faculty of Social Sciences and Law at Carlos III University of Madrid. Most of the students are in their fourth year of the double degree program in Political Science and Sociology at Carlos III University.

News
The gap between the PP and PSOE narrows to one point
The gap between the PP and PSOE narrows to one point
  • 11 APR 2024

The CIS has conducted its monthly barometer with the usual questions such as voting intentions, problems affecting Spaniards, international conflicts, and the European Union, among other issues. Vote estimate and preference for president of government The People's Party would obtain 33.5% of the vote this month, followed by the PSOE with 32.5%. VOX would come in third with 10.1%, and SUMAR would obtain 8.2% of the vote. Podemos would reach 3.1%. Pedro Sánchez is the preferred candidate for Prime Minister for 25.3% of Spaniards, 8.7 points ahead of Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who is favored by 16.6%. Yolanda Díaz is the favorite for 6.5%, Santiago Abascal for 6.4%, and Isabel Díaz Ayuso for 5.6%. Regarding the defined respondents, the gaps widen: 38.9% of those surveyed who gave their opinion prefer Pedro Sánchez as Prime Minister, giving him a 13.4 point advantage over Feijóo, who is preferred by 25.5%, with Yolanda Diaz in third position with 10%. Regarding the evaluation of leaders, the Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez is the best rated with a 4.22, followed by Alberto Núñez Feijóo with a 4.14, Yolanda Díaz with a 4.07 and Santiago Abascal with a 2.81. Regarding the government ministers, the Minister of Defense, Margarita Robles, is the best rated with a 5.06, the Minister of Economy, Carlos Cuerpo, is the second best rated with a 4.73 and in third place is the Minister of Social Rights, Consumer Affairs and Agenda 2023, Pablo Bustinduy with a 4.66. The European Union and international conflicts 81.2% of the population agrees that decisions made in Europe have a "great or considerable" influence on the lives of Spaniards. 13.2% believe they have little influence, and 2.9% believe they have no influence at all. Furthermore, 25.7% believe the PSOE is the party that best defends Spain's interests in the European Union, followed by the People's Party (17.8%). 5.6% say that VOX is the party that best defends the country's interests. Regarding the war in Gaza, 67% of those surveyed said they were “very or quite” concerned, 15.4% said they were “not very or not at all” concerned, and 16.2% said they were “somewhat” concerned. As for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, 69.4% said they were “very or quite” concerned, 15.9% said they were “not very or not at all” concerned, and 13.7% said they were “somewhat” concerned. Climate change was a “very or quite” concern for 73.9%. Economic situation and main problems The number of people who say their personal economic situation is "very good or good" has increased to 63.4%, compared to 24.8% who say it is "bad or very bad" and 11.1% who say it is fair. The problems that most affect Spaniards personally at the moment are the economic crisis and those of an economic nature (36.7%), healthcare which has risen almost 3 points compared to last month (18.4%), problems related to the quality of employment (16.6%) and unemployment (13.2%) These and other data are collected in the monthly barometer carried out from April 1 to 4 with 4,032 interviews.  

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