Latest news from the CIS

The Center for Sociological Research (CIS) regrets that certain analysts repeatedly criticize alleged errors in its surveys, leading them to make highly critical value judgments about the methodologies used by the CIS. This is false because the CIS conducts measurements, not predictions. Predictions are evaluated based on election results, while measurements analyze what may lead to, or has led to, certain results. This is a crucial difference. This approach leads to an error, which, when intentional, constitutes misinformation, on the part of those who claim that measurements are predictions. The distinction between these two concepts is included in all the technical data sheets of every study prepared and published by the CIS, as well as in various scientific publications. Claiming that the CIS "doesn't get it right" in its election predictions is as true or as false as saying the exact opposite, because the CIS doesn't make predictions but rather measurements and estimates of trends with the corresponding theoretical margins of error; estimates, of course, that are only valid for the days on which the CIS surveys are conducted, dates that are always well before (generally ten days) the time of the vote. Dealing with the CIS (Spanish Center for Sociological Research) in the face of systemic criticism, misinformation, and accusations of various kinds seems more like a way to avoid genuinely scientific and rigorous debates on these issues, while simultaneously trying to mask the fact that in certain electoral processes some parties have not achieved their pre-set objectives. This is a matter in which neither the CIS nor its surveys can or should intervene, as these are political issues that are not the CIS's concern. Furthermore, in response to Ms. Gamarra's announcement to activate the Commission of Inquiry into the CIS, which was announced previously in the Senate, this autonomous body expresses its willingness to collaborate in this process, and thus take advantage of this circumstance to provide public and transparent information on the management of the CIS and the procedures followed in its investigative work and public administration, whose accounts are audited annually, being one of the bodies whose latest accounts have not been subject to any objection.

The Spanish Journal of Sociological Research renews its quality seal awarded by the Spanish Foundation for Science and Technology (FECYT) for another year. The indicator examined to renew the Quality Seal has been the level of impact and visibility, composed of the following variables for the time frame of the last 5 years: Citations obtained: total number of citations obtained in the SCIE, SSCI, A&HCI, ESCI, SCOPUS and SciELO databases. Weighting: 60% of the total score. H-Index: h-Index WoS, h-Index SJR, h5-Index Google Scholar Metrics. Weighting: 10% of the total score. JCI and SJR Quartile: score according to the quartile in which the journal is ranked for each database (see evaluation guide). Weighting: 10% of the total score. MIAR Composite Index of Secondary Diffusion (ICDS) in 2023. Weighting: 20% of the total score. The Spanish Journal of Sociological Research (REIS) is a quarterly publication of the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), forming a fundamental part of its publishing activity. First published in 1978, its aim is to disseminate academic studies that contribute to a better understanding of Spanish society. Due to its long history and the high standards it demands of its contributions, it has become a benchmark journal for any scholar or researcher in the social sciences.

The CIS has conducted the monthly barometer with the usual questions such as voting intentions, problems affecting Spaniards, social inequalities and other issues. The PSOE is the leading party in voting intentions with 31.7% of the votes, the PP would achieve 30.7%, VOX would be the third leading party with 12.1%, SUMAR would get 8.8% and Podemos would obtain 3.6%. Preferences regarding leaders Pedro Sánchez is the preferred candidate for Prime Minister for 27.4% of Spaniards, 13.8 points ahead of Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who is favored by 13.6%. Santiago Abascal is the favorite for 6.5%, Yolanda Díaz for 5.8%, and Isabel Díaz Ayuso—who has dropped two points—for 3.2%. Among the selected candidates, the gap widens: 43.5% of respondents who gave their opinion prefer Pedro Sánchez as Prime Minister, giving him a 22-point lead over Feijóo, who is preferred by 21.5%. Santiago Abascal comes in third place with 10.3%, followed by Yolanda with 9.2%, and Isabel Díaz Ayuso with 5%. Regarding the trust generated by the main leaders, Pedro Sánchez inspires "a lot or quite a lot" of trust in 30.3% of Spaniards, compared to the leader of the opposition, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who inspires "a lot or quite a lot" in 21.9%. Regarding the evaluation of leaders, the Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez is the best rated with a 4.30, followed by Yolanda Díaz with a 4.11, Alberto Núñez Feijóo with a 3.87, and Santiago Abascal with a 2.81. Social inequalities 49% of those surveyed say that inequalities exist in some aspects of Spain, but not in others. 39.4% state that there are significant social inequalities, while 8.7% say there are few social inequalities in our country. Spaniards believe that these inequalities will worsen within 10 years, with 48.6% thinking there will be significant social inequalities and 9.9% believing there will be few. An additional 32.7% believe inequalities will exist in some areas but not in others. 58% believe that in ten years' time in Spain, interpersonal inequalities in income and earnings will be greater. 52.4% believe that interpersonal inequalities in the level of consumption of goods and services will be greater, as will interregional inequalities (48.5%) and inequalities between people of different ages (37.3%). Equal opportunities and identities 83.6% of those surveyed believe that Spaniards do not have the same opportunities to access housing, 78% say that in Spain there is no equality of opportunity to increase income, and 74.5% believe that there is no equality of opportunity to get a job. 25.1% say that in 10 years people will identify with the same people from their social class, 18% will identify with people of the same age, and 17.7% with people with the same political ideas. Housing as a problem The problems that Spaniards say most affect them personally are, firstly, the economic crisis and economic problems (26%), secondly, Health care for 23.1% and - as a new development - housing in third place for 17.1%. Regarding the main problems in Spain, they point to political problems in general (23%), followed by housing (21.2%) and then unemployment (19.6%). Economic situation 65.8% of people say their personal financial situation is “very good or good,” compared to 22.6% who say it is “bad or very bad” and 10.6% who say it is fair. In contrast, when asked about the economic situation in Spain, only 32.8% say it is “very good or good,” while 58.8% say it is “bad or very bad.” 6.5% say it is fair. These and other data are collected in the monthly barometer carried out from May 31 to June 6 with 4,011 interviews.

On June 20, at 12:00 p.m., the preview of the results of the 'Barómetro de junio 2024' will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

Resolution of the Presidency of the Sociological Research Center by which the award of subsidies for training and research in matters of interest to the Agency for the year 2024 is made public.

The study 3460 'Campaña de las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The CIS (Spanish Centre for Sociological Research) presented the book 'The Origin of the Distinction of Ranks' by Scottish philosopher John Millar, translated into Spanish for the first time. The presentation was given by the president of the CIS, José Félix Tezanos, who was accompanied by the vice president and Minister of Finance, María Jesús Montero, the Emeritus Professor of Economics at the University of Oxford, Valpy Fitzgerald, and the director of Publications at the CIS, Rosario H. Sánchez.  

On June 11, at 12:00 p.m., the preview of the results of the study 'Postelectoral del País Vasco. Elecciones autonómicas 2024' will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

The CIS has translated for the first time into Spanish the most recognized work by John Millar 'The origin of the distinction of ranks', which has been translated by the Professor of Sociology at the UNED, Ramón Cotarelo. This book should be considered one of the first social stratification texts in history, which should be included in the bibliography of Sociology. 'The origin of the distinction of ranks' is not a study only about social classes, but about hierarchies, about the positions of authority and obedience in societies, a broader concept that also includes the power relations of men over women , of parents over children, of chiefs over tribes, of lords over servants, of sovereigns over vassals. John Millar was also a pioneer in the application of an economistic vision to the evolution of institutions, writing a classic book of which Werner Sombart said that it is one of the best and most complete works of Sociology. This work by John Millar dates from 1779, three years after the appearance of 'The Wealth of Nations' by his teacher Adam Smith.

The CIS (Spanish Centre for Sociological Research) has conducted a survey on the campaign for the European Parliament elections to be held on June 9th. According to this study, the PSOE (Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) would be the leading party, obtaining between 31.6% and 33.2% of the vote. The PP (People's Party) would obtain between 28.3% and 30.5%, VOX, in third place, would obtain between 9.9% and 11%, SUMAR between 5.4% and 7.1%, 'Se acabó la fiesta' (The Party's Over) between 4.9% and 5.7%, 'Ahora Repúblicas' (Now Republics) between 3.7% and 4.1%, and Podemos between 3.6% and 3.9%. 71.1% of those surveyed say they will definitely vote on June 9th. When it comes to voting… 38.2% of Spaniards say that “in the European elections it may be convenient to vote for a different party than the one voted for in the general elections”, 32.3% say that “they always vote for the same party in the European and general elections” and 23% say that they “usually” always vote for the same party in both elections. 48.6% decide their vote “well before the start of the election campaign,” 14.1% decide “at the beginning of the election campaign,” 20.8% decide “during the last week of the campaign,” 6.8% during the day of reflection, and 7.2% on election day itself. Furthermore, 66.7% say they have already decided how they will vote on June 9th, 31% “are still undecided,” and 2% say they will not vote. 65.9% say that the most important thing when voting is the political party, 22.3% say that it is the candidate, 6% say that it is both and only 2% say that it is the electoral program. 31.9% say they would like the PSOE to win these European elections, 24.7% want the PP, 8.6% of voters want VOX, and 4.1% want SUMAR. 57% give more importance to issues related to the current political situation in Spain, compared to 29.3% who say that issues related to the European Union and the European Parliament will be the most important when they go to vote. Furthermore, 25.5% of voters say that the PSOE is the party best presenting proposals of greatest interest to Spain in this campaign. This puts them ahead of the PP, which is considered by 18.9% to be the party with the most interesting proposals. When respondents were asked about their personal interests, the PSOE also received the most support in terms of proposals, according to 23%, followed by the PP with 18.3% and VOX with 9.4%. Candidates The PSOE candidate, Teresa Ribera, is the only one to pass with a 5.2, followed by the PP candidate, Dolors Montserrat, with a 4.47, and in third place is the SUMAR candidate, Estrella Galán, with a 3.90. The Podemos candidate, Irene Montero, comes in fourth position with a 3.55. Regarding who is the most prepared candidate to raise relevant issues for Spain in the EU, 28.5% said Teresa Ribera, 18.6% said Dolors Montserrat, 7.7% said Jorge Buxadé (VOX) and 6.5% said Irene Montero. Regarding the trust they generate, Teresa Ribera is the most with 28.2%, followed by Dolors Montserrat with 19.7%, Jorge Buxadé in third place (8.4%) and Irene Montero with 6.3%. Media 44.5% say they are following election-related news and topics with “great or considerable interest,” compared to 51.4% who say they are following them with “little or no interest.” And 3.3% say they don't care. 41.4% say that what they see and hear in the media has helped them "see the differences between the various parties," while 30.2% of respondents say that the media helps them "get to know the candidates better." However, regarding their voting decision, 84.6% say that what they see and hear in the media has "little or no" influence on changing their final vote. The press, both in print and digital formats, is the medium most used by Spaniards to stay informed about the European elections, according to 64.9% of those surveyed. Television comes in second place (64.6%), and social media is third (48.8%), ahead of radio (46.7%). These and other data are collected in the European election campaign survey conducted from May 23 to 30 with 7,491 interviews.  

On June 3, at 13:00 p.m., the preview of the results of the study 'Campaña de las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024' will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

The Sociological Research Center (CIS) will be present at the 83rd Madrid Book Fair, which will be held in the Retiro Park, between May 31 and June 16, 2024. The CIS will be located in booth 314 of the Retiro Park, a booth shared with number 313, belonging to the Center for Political and Constitutional Studies (CEPC), where you will also find books related to our topic. In her . Among them, the Spanish Journal of Sociological Research (REIS) and numerous books belonging to our 10 collections on various topics stand out. You can consult all of these works in the Publications Catalog and take advantage of the presence of the CIS at the Book Fair to purchase those copies that interest you with a 10% discount. If you prefer, we also have a Bookstore, with home delivery service. The hours of our booth (314) will be: Working days from Monday to Thursday from 10:30 a.m. to 2:00 p.m. and from 5:00 p.m. to 9:00 p.m. Friday to Sunday from 10:30 a.m. to 3:00 p.m. and from 5:00 p.m. to 9:00 p.m. On Friday, June 7, we will close at 11:30 p.m.    

The study 3458 'Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The professor of Sociology, Angel Belzunegui, has been in charge of presenting and moderating the presentations on this second day of the conference. The first intervention was that of the professor, Sandra Fachelli, and the professor, Pedro López-Roldán, both of whom discussed social inequalities in the labor markets in Spain. Fachelli explained that “the fluidity of the market in Spain has been driven by the incorporation of women into the labor market.” The professor of Economics, José Pérez Montiel, focused his presentation on the distribution of income and social inequality. The professor has asserted that “Spain is one of the EU countries with the most inequality in income distribution” after his research. The Emeritus Professor and president of the CIS, José Félix Tezanos, has assured that "we must analyze whether the economic factors that allowed us to build the models on which society is sustained." “We are seeing that the new generations are experiencing a very accelerated process of downward social mobility, and that is disturbing,” said Tezanos, who also stressed that “age is a stratification factor in our society.” And he assured that: “gender is also a factor, women continue to have fewer job opportunities than men.”  

The study3456 'Campaña de las elecciones autonómicas de Cataluña 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The study 3453 'Preelectoral de Cataluña. Elecciones autonómicas 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The study 3457 'Barómetro de mayo 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The study 3500 'Encuesta flash situación política española' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The CIS has carried out the pre-election survey for the elections to the European Parliament that will be held on June 9. According to this study, the PSOE would be the first force and would achieve between 21 and 24 seats. The PP would obtain between 18 and 20, VOX, in third position, would obtain between 5 and 6, SUMAR 4 seats, Podemos between 2 and 3, and the Ahora Repúblicas coalition between 2 and 3 seats. 75.2% of those surveyed believe that belonging to the European Union “has rather benefited us” as a country compared to 19.4% who believe that “it has rather harmed us.” Regarding the elections on June 9, 64.3% say they are “very or quite interested,” compared to 34.8% who say they are “little or not at all interested.” Taking into account the international context of instability, 62.1% consider these elections more important than other previous European elections. Young people from 18 to 24 years old 63% consider themselves little or not at all informed about matters related to the European Union, being the age group with the highest percentage in this sense. Although 62.6% are very or quite interested in these European elections. 82.4% believe that belonging to the European Union has benefited Spain, being the age group with the highest percentage in this sense. 51% say they feel “European and Spanish citizens at the same time”, the highest percentage among the different age groups. When voting in the European elections, they will give more importance to issues related to the current political situation in Spain (70.8%) compared to issues related to the European Union and the European Parliament (25.75). And 43.3% think that in the European elections it may be convenient to vote for a different party than the one voted for in the general elections. European Parliament 74.3% would like the European Parliament to have a more important role, while 16.1% want it to remain the same. 7.5% want it to have a less important role. Regarding the future of the European Parliament, in 5 years, 78.3% of the population wants the institution to have a more important role, 12.1% want it to have the same role and 7.6% want its role be less. When asked about the party that best defends the interests of Spain in the European Parliament, for 30.6% it is the PSOE, 22.8% say the PP, 10.3% say VOX, and 5.3% ADD. 40.4% of those surveyed believe that it will be the PP that wins the next European elections, but when asking who they would like to win, the perception changes, 32.4% assure that they want the PSOE to win these elections. elections, with the PP being the second option for 25.4% of those surveyed. EU related news 66% are interested in news related to the European Union "a lot or quite a lot" compared to 32.7% who say "little or not at all." 45.5% consider that they are “very or fairly informed” about matters related to the EU, while more say that they are “little or not at all informed” - 53.7% - about these matters. When it comes to voting… 63.5% assure that the most important thing when voting in the European elections will be “the issues related to the current political situation in Spain” and for 29.6% those “related to the EU and the European Parliament” . Regarding the voting decision, 35.7% indicate that they “always vote for the same party in both the European elections and the general elections”, 21.9% “usually vote for the same party in both the European elections and the general elections”. ”, and 35.5% affirm that “it may be advisable to vote for a different party than the one voted for in the general elections.” 59% decide their vote “long before the start of the electoral campaign”, 10.4% decide it “at the beginning of the electoral campaign”, 16.5% decide it “during the last week of the campaign”, 6.1% during the day of reflection, and 6.2% on election day itself. Reasons to choose a party 49.7% decide the party "because it best represents the ideas of people like him", 29.6% because of "the general situation of Europe in the world" and 29.2% choose it "because the effects on national politics. Candidates The PSOE candidate, Teresa Ribera, is the only one who approves with a 5.3, followed by the PP candidate, Dolors Montserrat, with a 4.5 and, in third place, is the SUMAR candidate, Estrella Galán, with a 3.89. Regarding who has the best candidate for the European Parliament, 23.8% have assured that the PSOE, 20% that the PP, 8.4% VOX and 3.8% SUMAR. Sense of belonging 44.9% say that they feel like a “European and Spanish citizen at the same time”, 26.6% say that “especially a Spanish citizen”, 21.3% “a citizen of the world” and 4.7% “ especially European citizens.” Election campaign 77.8% believe that “the majority of people have already decided on their vote and the campaign will have little influence”, and personally, 78.7% affirm that “they have already decided what they will do and the campaign will not influence them. Only 15.7% assure that “the campaign will greatly influence their decision.” These and other data are collected in the pre-election survey of the European elections carried out from May 8 to 17 with 6,434 interviews.