Latest news from the CIS

The CIS has carried out the pre-election survey for the elections to the European Parliament that will be held on June 9. According to this study, the PSOE would be the first force and would achieve between 21 and 24 seats. The PP would obtain between 18 and 20, VOX, in third position, would obtain between 5 and 6, SUMAR 4 seats, Podemos between 2 and 3, and the Ahora Repúblicas coalition between 2 and 3 seats. 75.2% of those surveyed believe that belonging to the European Union “has rather benefited us” as a country compared to 19.4% who believe that “it has rather harmed us.” Regarding the elections on June 9, 64.3% say they are “very or quite interested,” compared to 34.8% who say they are “little or not at all interested.” Taking into account the international context of instability, 62.1% consider these elections more important than other previous European elections. Young people from 18 to 24 years old 63% consider themselves little or not at all informed about matters related to the European Union, being the age group with the highest percentage in this sense. Although 62.6% are very or quite interested in these European elections. 82.4% believe that belonging to the European Union has benefited Spain, being the age group with the highest percentage in this sense. 51% say they feel “European and Spanish citizens at the same time”, the highest percentage among the different age groups. When voting in the European elections, they will give more importance to issues related to the current political situation in Spain (70.8%) compared to issues related to the European Union and the European Parliament (25.75). And 43.3% think that in the European elections it may be convenient to vote for a different party than the one voted for in the general elections. European Parliament 74.3% would like the European Parliament to have a more important role, while 16.1% want it to remain the same. 7.5% want it to have a less important role. Regarding the future of the European Parliament, in 5 years, 78.3% of the population wants the institution to have a more important role, 12.1% want it to have the same role and 7.6% want its role be less. When asked about the party that best defends the interests of Spain in the European Parliament, for 30.6% it is the PSOE, 22.8% say the PP, 10.3% say VOX, and 5.3% ADD. 40.4% of those surveyed believe that it will be the PP that wins the next European elections, but when asking who they would like to win, the perception changes, 32.4% assure that they want the PSOE to win these elections. elections, with the PP being the second option for 25.4% of those surveyed. EU related news 66% are interested in news related to the European Union "a lot or quite a lot" compared to 32.7% who say "little or not at all." 45.5% consider that they are “very or fairly informed” about matters related to the EU, while more say that they are “little or not at all informed” - 53.7% - about these matters. When it comes to voting… 63.5% assure that the most important thing when voting in the European elections will be “the issues related to the current political situation in Spain” and for 29.6% those “related to the EU and the European Parliament” . Regarding the voting decision, 35.7% indicate that they “always vote for the same party in both the European elections and the general elections”, 21.9% “usually vote for the same party in both the European elections and the general elections”. ”, and 35.5% affirm that “it may be advisable to vote for a different party than the one voted for in the general elections.” 59% decide their vote “long before the start of the electoral campaign”, 10.4% decide it “at the beginning of the electoral campaign”, 16.5% decide it “during the last week of the campaign”, 6.1% during the day of reflection, and 6.2% on election day itself. Reasons to choose a party 49.7% decide the party "because it best represents the ideas of people like him", 29.6% because of "the general situation of Europe in the world" and 29.2% choose it "because the effects on national politics. Candidates The PSOE candidate, Teresa Ribera, is the only one who approves with a 5.3, followed by the PP candidate, Dolors Montserrat, with a 4.5 and, in third place, is the SUMAR candidate, Estrella Galán, with a 3.89. Regarding who has the best candidate for the European Parliament, 23.8% have assured that the PSOE, 20% that the PP, 8.4% VOX and 3.8% SUMAR. Sense of belonging 44.9% say that they feel like a “European and Spanish citizen at the same time”, 26.6% say that “especially a Spanish citizen”, 21.3% “a citizen of the world” and 4.7% “ especially European citizens.” Election campaign 77.8% believe that “the majority of people have already decided on their vote and the campaign will have little influence”, and personally, 78.7% affirm that “they have already decided what they will do and the campaign will not influence them. Only 15.7% assure that “the campaign will greatly influence their decision.” These and other data are collected in the pre-election survey of the European elections carried out from May 8 to 17 with 6,434 interviews.

On May 23, at 12,30 p.m., the preview of the results of the study 'Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024' will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

The study 3454 'Índice de Confianza del Consumidor (ICC). Abril 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

El CIS ha realizado el barómetro mensual con las cuestiones habituales como la estimación de voto, los problemas que afectan a los españoles, los conflictos internacionales, entre otras cuestiones. El PSOE vuelve a ser primera fuerza en estimación de voto con el 35,5% de los votos, el PP lograría el 30,4%, VOX sería tercera fuerza con el 10,2%, SUMAR se quedaría con el 8% y Podemos obtendría un 2,2%.    Preferencias sobre los líderes Pedro Sánchez es el preferido como presidente del Gobierno para el 27,8% de los españoles -2 puntos más que el mes anterior-, a 15,3 puntos de Alberto Núñez Feijóo, que lo es para el 12,5%. Santiago Abascal es el favorito para el 6,2%, Yolanda Díaz para el 5,9% e Isabel Díaz Ayuso para el 5,1%.  Sobre los encuestados definidos las distancias aumentan: Un 44,4% de los encuestados que dan su opinión prefieren a Pedro Sánchez como presidente del Gobierno, sacando 24,5 puntos de ventaja a Feijóo, al que prefieren el 19,9%. En tercer lugar, se sitúa Santiago Abascal, para el 9,9%, seguido de Yolanda para el 9,4%, e Isabel Díaz Ayuso para el 8,1%. Sobre la confianza que generan los principales líderes, Pedro Sánchez inspira “mucha o bastante” confianza al 30,3% de los españoles, frente al líder de la oposición, Alberto Núñez Feijóo que inspira “mucha o bastante” al 22,2%.  En cuanto a la valoración de líderes, el presidente del gobierno Pedro Sánchez es el mejor valorado con un 4,39, seguido de Yolanda Díaz con un 4,19, Alberto Núñez Feijóo con un 4,01, y Santiago Abascal con un 2,84. El anuncio del presidente del Gobierno Sobre la decisión que anunció el presidente, Pedro Sánchez, el pasado 29 de abril sobre pensar si seguir al frente del Gobierno, un 67,9% de los encuestados conocía la noticia. De las personas que estaban enteradas de la decisión, un 36,8% ha valorado “muy positivamente o positivamente” que Sánchez continue en el cargo. Un 20,5% “ni positiva ni negativamente” y un 41,9% “negativamente o muy negativamente”. Los sentimientos que provocan en los españoles la política hoy en día son: la desconfianza en primer lugar (37,6%), la irritación en segundo lugar (27,4%) y el interés (23,1%). Sobre la guerra en Gaza, el 70,4% de los encuestados asegura que les preocupa “mucho o bastante”, un porcentaje que sube 3 puntos respecto al mes pasado. Un 13,6% dice que “poco o nada” y un 14,7% afirma estar “algo” preocupados.  En cuanto a la invasión de Rusia a Ucrania, un 71,6% asegura que le preocupa “mucho o bastante”, a un 14,7% “poco o nada” y un 12,5% dice estar “algo” preocupado. El cambio climático preocupa “bastante o mucho” al 74,6%. Situación económica y principales problemas Las personas que aseguran que su situación económica personal es “muy buena o buena” llegan al 61,5%, frente 27,4% que dice que es “mala o muy mala” y un 9,9% que afirma que es regular. Por el contrario, cuando se pregunta por la situación económica de España, solo un 32,8% afirma que es “muy buena o buena” y un 58% que es “mala o muy mala”. Un 6,9% dice que es regular. Los problemas que más afectan a los españoles de manera personal en estos momentos son la crisis económica y los de índole económica (32,7%), la sanidad que se mantiene como segundo problema respecto al mes pasado (18,3%), los problemas relacionados con la calidad del empleo (14,7%) y el paro (14,3%) Estos y otros datos se encuentran recogidos en el barómetro mensual realizado del 3 al 8 de mayo con 4.013 entrevistas. Pueden consultar los datos al completo en la web del Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es).

On May 14, from 1:30 p.m., the preview of the results of the 'Barómetro de mayo 2024' will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

Consumer confidence stands at 84.5 points, which represents 2 points more than the previous month's figure. This increase in the index is due to the evolution of its two components: on the one hand, the assessment of the current situation rises by 1.7 points and, on the other, the assessment of expectations grows by 2.3 points, compared to the month of March. . In relation to the month of April of the previous year, the interannual evolution of the CCI is also positive: it increases by 11.6 points. This improvement is due to the increase of 14.8 points in the assessment of the current situation in the last year and an improvement of 8.3 points in future expectations compared to April 2023. As for the valuation index of the current situation, it reaches 77.6 points this month, with a growth of 1.7 points in relation to that obtained last March. This represents an increase in relative terms in the evolution of its three components: the assessment of the current economic situation rises 3 points compared to the month of March, standing at 67.6 points; while the assessment of the situation of households grows 1.2 points, reaching 85.6 points and the assessment of the labor market reaches 79.7 points, which represents a slight increase compared to March of 0.8 points . The Expectations Index reaches 91.4 points this April, a result 2.3 points higher than the 89.1 points registered in the month of March, which represents an increase of 2.6% in relative terms. This result is due to the evolution of its three components: the assessment of the evolution of the economy in the future with 83.2 points shows an increase of 3.2 points compared to March, the assessment of the future situation of households presents a slight increase of 0.3 points, reaching 103.9 points and expectations about the future of the labor market increase 3.5 points, reaching 87.1 points this April. The CIS ICC data are based on a representative sample of the Spanish population of 3,006 interviews carried out between April 22 and 24.  

On May 13, from 13:30 p.m., the preview of the results of the ICC (Índice de Confianza del Consumidor) will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). The ICC collects monthly the assessment of the recent evolution and expectations of Spanish consumers related to their family economy, employment and their savings and consumption possibilities. For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

The Sociological Research Center (CIS) did not receive any notification yesterday from the Central Electoral Board about the file and/or the sanctions that have been mentioned in some social media. This agreement was formally known today, May 7, at 12:42 p.m. The CIS learned through social media that such actions were due to a complaint from the Popular Party. The CIS has not breached article 69.8 of the LOREG, nor instruction 1/2024 of February 1, 2024, which is referred to in the JEC's written action. In the aforementioned CIS flash survey, voting intentions were asked about the intention to vote in the case of a supposed general election, but voting intentions were not asked about the elections in Catalonia, nor for the European elections. It must be remembered that there are currently no general elections called, nor, therefore, is there any obligation for the CIS regarding the electoral periods of this type of election. The reported survey includes, like others carried out by the CIS, several common questions about voting intention, ideological self-location, level of education, religious beliefs, employment situation, size of habitat, etc. In all monthly barometers, the CIS asks a question about voting intention. This question is similar to the one included in the Flash Survey on the Spanish political situation. And, despite having been carried out during the electoral period of the Galician and Basque elections, it has not been the subject of questioning, nor has it been understood as an activity that could affect the objectivity or transparency of any of them. This center does not understand the difference that can exist in elections whose call has nothing to do with the question asked. In any case, as stipulated in article 69.8 of the LOREG, the CIS publishes the results of its surveys immediately and in a completely transparent manner, and on the occasion in question said data could be consulted on the CIS website from on Monday, April 29 at 2:00 p.m. That is, much less time than the 48 business hours required by the LOREG. Given the existing situation, the CIS has asked the State Attorney's Office to file a contentious administrative appeal against the agreement of the Central Electoral Board of May 6, 2024.  

The CIS has carried out a survey for the elections that are going to be held in Catalonia on May 12. The PSC-PSOE would be the first force and would achieve between 29.8 and 33.2%, Junts is the second force and would reach between 15.4 and 18.1% and ERC between 15.2 and 17. 9%. The Popular Party would be the fourth force with an estimate between 9.6 and 11.9%. VOX would remain between the estimated 5.8 and 7.5% in percentage of the vote. In Commons Add between 5 and 6.7%. The CUP with between 3.2 and 4.6%. And Aliança Catalana between 3 and 4.4%. 46.5% of Catalans acknowledge that they are following the news and topics related to the upcoming elections with “a lot or quite a lot of interest”, compared to 50.3% who say they have “little or no interest”. 70.2% say that television is the medium through which they have received the most information about programs and proposals for these elections, 62.7% say that the press - both in digital and printed formats - is the medium through which they have received the most information. used, and 47.9% answered that social networks. When voting For Catalans, the political party is more important when voting in these elections (59.7%), than the candidate presented by the party (24.1%). 6.4% assure that they give the same importance to the party as to the candidate. And only 3.9% will give greater importance to the electoral program. Fidelity and voting decision 22.4% of Catalans affirm that they always vote for the same party, 24.9% that they generally “tend to” always vote for the same party and 45.9% according to “whatever suits them best in that moment”, they vote for one party or another, or they do not vote. 46% affirm that they decide their vote long before the start of the electoral campaign, 12.1% do so at the beginning of the campaign, 22.8% during the last week of the campaign, 6.9% during the day of reflection and 9% on election day itself. Furthermore, 1.3% are already clear that they will abstain. Furthermore, 77.3% of Catalans assure that they will go to vote “with complete certainty” on May 12, 5 points more than in the previous survey on these elections, when 72.3% made this statement. Candidate evaluation The PSOE candidate, Salvador Illa, is the best rated with 5.42 and is the only one who approves, in second place is the Esquerra candidate, Pere Aragonés, with 4.77. In third position is the En Comú Podem candidate, Jessica Albiach, with a 4.30. Below 4, is the Junts candidate, Carles Puigdemont, with 3.86. Illa once again heads the list as “the candidate most prepared to resolve the relevant issues in Catalonia”, according to 25.8% of respondents, followed by Carles Puigdemont (14.8%) and Per Aragonés (10.95). The candidate who inspires the most confidence is Salvador Illa (25.8%), Carles Puigdemont (14%) and Pere Aragonés (11.1%). Preference as President 27.3% want Salvador Illa to be the President of the Generalitat after the regional elections, 16.9% want it to be Puigdemont and 12.8% want it to be the Esquerra candidate, Pere Aragonés. Matters of interest for Catalonia The PSC-PSOE is the party that is raising issues of most interest to Catalonia in this campaign (22%), followed by ERC (12.8%) and Cat-Junts+ (11%). As for the party that is raising issues of personal interest to voters, the PSC-PSOE appears in first position (20.6%), followed by ERC (11.3%) and Cat-Junts+ (10.9%). These and other data are collected in the pre-election survey carried out from April 24 to 30 with 4,051 interviews.

The study 3447 'Hábitos deportivos en España (V)' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

On May 6, at 13:00 p.m., the preview of the results of the study 'Campaña de las elecciones autonómicas de Cataluña 2024' will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

On April 29, at 14:00 p.m., the preview of the results of the study 'Situación política española' ("Flash" survey with 1,809 interviews conducted on Friday, April 26, 2024), will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

The study 3452 'Opiniones y actitudes ante la Unión Europea' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The study 3450 'Barómetro de abril 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

A delegation of students from the International Management Degree at the Geneva Business School has visited the CIS facilities as well as the permanent exhibition of the 60th Anniversary of the IOP - CIS. The students were accompanied by teacher Josefina Bengoechea.

The CIS has carried out the pre-election survey for the elections that will be held in Catalonia on May 12. The PSC-PSOE would be the first force and would achieve between 26.9% and 28.3%, ERC would obtain between 17.7% and 19.5% and Junts would reach between 16.3% and 18.1%. The Popular Party would be the fourth force with an estimate of 9.2% and 10.6%. VOX would remain between the estimated 6.3% and 7.5% in percentage of the vote. In Commons Add between 5.5% and 6.4%. The CUP with between 3.7% and 4.6%. And Aliança Catalana, between 2.6% and 3.4%. 44.4% of Catalans acknowledge that they are following the news and topics related to the upcoming elections with “a lot or quite a lot of interest”, compared to 54.5% who say they have “little or no interest”. When voting The issues specific to Catalonia will be the most important thing for 65% of Catalans when it comes to voting, while the issues specific to Spain will be what marks the decision of 26.5% of voters. 5.6% affirm that they will take into account both the problems of the country and those of the community. For Catalans, the political party is more important when voting in these elections (60.8%), than the candidate presented by the party (25.9%). 3.5% assure that they give the same importance to the party as to the candidate. And only 1.8% will give greater importance to the electoral program. Fidelity and voting decision 19% of Catalans affirm that they always vote for the same party, 25.3% that they generally “tend to” always vote for the same party and 51.2% according to “whatever suits them most at that moment” , they vote for one party or another, or they don't vote. 48% affirm that they decide their vote long before the start of the electoral campaign, 12.4% do so at the beginning of the campaign, 22% during the last week of the campaign, 7% during the day of reflection and a 7.2% on the same day of the elections. Furthermore, 1.5% are already clear that they will abstain. Furthermore, 72.3% of Catalans assure that they will go to vote “with complete certainty” on May 12. Management of the Catalan Government Regarding the management of ERC at the head of the government, 30.7% believe that it has been “very good or good”, compared to 58.9% who say that it has been “bad or very bad”. 7.8% think it's fair. As for the opposition, the best valued work is that of the PSC, since for 34% of Catalans it has been “very good or good”, as for that of Junts, only 17.2% consider that they have done a “very good or good” job. Regarding the opposition of En Comú Podem, 27.1% consider that they have done a “very good or good” job. And that of the PP has been “very good or good” for 14.8%. Regarding the political situation, 21.7% believe that it is now “better or much better” than 3 years ago, but 42.7% assure that it is worse. And 34.4% believe it is the same. Regarding the economic situation, only 17.6% say that it is “better or much better” than 3 years ago, 35.2% believe that it is “worse or much worse” and 37.8% say that it is equal. PSC, the party most capable of governing in Catalonia The PSC is the party “most capable of governing in Catalonia”, with a percentage of 26%. ERC is the party that “best defends the interests of Catalonia” for 22% of those surveyed. And the PSC is the one that “best represents the people's ideas” for 21.8%. amnesty law 37.6% of Catalans believe that the Amnesty Law has contributed to improving coexistence in Catalonia, 36.1% say that the situation remains the same and 23.8% believe that it has worsened. 46% say they “feel as Spanish as they do Catalan”, 21.8% say they “feel more Catalan than Spanish”, 17.3% feel “only Catalan” and 5.9% “only Spanish”. Candidate evaluation The PSOE candidate, Salvador Illa, is the best rated with 5.35 and is the only one who approves, in second place is the Esquerra candidate, Pere Aragonés, with 4.86. In third position is the En Comú Podem candidate, Jessica Albiach, with a 4.16. Below 4, is the Junts candidate, Carles Puigdemont, with 3.83. Illa once again heads the list as “the candidate most prepared to resolve the relevant issues in Catalonia”, according to 25.3% of respondents. And he is also the candidate who inspires the most confidence of all (23%). Preference as President 24.8% want Salvador Illa to be the President of the Generalitat after the regional elections, 17% want it to be Puigdemont and 14.6% want it to be the Esquerra candidate, Pere Aragonés. As for who Catalans prefer as president of the Spanish government at the moment, 42.6% prefer Pedro Sánchez. In second place, 11.5% point to Alberto Núñez Feijóo, and in third place to Yolanda Díaz with 8.6%. Main problems in Catalonia Independence is the main problem for 20.5% of those surveyed, followed by political problems in general for 16.5% and for 6.4% it is the economic crisis and rising prices. These and other data are collected in the pre-election survey carried out from April 11 to 22 with 8,905 interviews.

Report of April 23, 2024 from the Instructing Body, proposing the provisional resolution of the Sociological Research Center, which makes public the award of subsidies for training and research in matters of interest to the Body for the year 2024

On April 25, starting at 12:30 p.m., the preview of the results of the study 'Preelectoral de Cataluña. Elecciones autonómicas 2024' will be available to all media and interested people on the website of the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (www.cis.es). For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

The study 3449 'Índice de Confianza del Consumidor (ICC). Marzo 2024' is now available. They have at their disposal the microdata file, the marginal and crossing reports, and the technical documentation. You can access this study from the Study Catalog search engine or directly through the link indicated below.

The CIS has carried out a survey on the perception that Spaniards have of the European Union, and the interest it generates. 82.9% recognize that the decisions made within the European Union “affect us a lot or quite a lot”, compared to 15.9% who believe that “little or not at all”. 65.3% of Spaniards are very or quite interested in EU news, although 58.3% say they are “little or not at all informed” about matters related to the EU and 40.9% say they are “very or fairly informed.” About membership of the Union 63.9% believe that things would be worse for us economically if Spain were not within the European Union. Only 17.7% believe that we would be better off and 14.1% assure that we would be the same. Belonging to the EU is more beneficial for issues such as culture” (79.9%); “employment opportunities” (73.2%); for “opportunities to do business” (77.4%), and for Spain's weight in the world (76.5%). Regarding “prices of goods and consumption” 48.4% agree that being within the Union is more harmful. Measures to improve the EU Regarding the state of the European Union, 54.2% believe that “it needs some changes, but not radical ones”, 38.6% say that it “needs profound changes”, and only 4.1% that “it is fine”. how are you doing". For 47.2%, the most priority measure that the EU should take is “setting a European minimum wage.” Secondly, 47.1% believe that we must prioritize “advancing the social and political rights of European Union citizens.” And 30.7% indicate that the most important thing is to “strengthen the common foreign and security policy.” 87.1% say they are in favor of “a policy of common rights and obligations” in the European Union. 83.3% to reinforce the common European foreign policy. 80.7% affirm that it would be necessary to “contribute financially to finance a European welfare state.” And 63.5% are in favor of the creation of a common European army. Future of the European Union Regarding the future of the EU, 32.9% consider that “the economy and employment” is the most important thing, for 16.9% social protection and the welfare state, while for 15.7% Democracy, its values and the rule of law are important. Another fact reflected in the survey is that the last word on important decisions should always be with the member states (65.2%) and that the EU should have a true federal government that makes decisions (30.6%). Sense of belonging 53.9% say they feel like “a European and Spanish citizen at the same time”, 35.7% say “especially a Spanish citizen” and 4.6% “especially a European citizen”. 1.3% who say they are “citizens of the world”. Regarding the issues that Spaniards would like to be addressed by the European Parliament, 33.6% say “support for the economy and job creation”; 32.4% “the fight against poverty and social exclusion” and in third place “public health” for 31.4%. European Institutions The European Parliament is the one that citizens have heard about the most (94.3%), followed by the European Central Bank (92.6%), the European Commission is the best known to 84.8%, the Council of the European Union for 83.1% and the least known institution is the European Council (73.4%). Regarding the trust that these institutions deserve among Spaniards who know them, the European Parliament is the one they trust the most with a score of 5.94 out of 10, followed by the European Commission with a 5.88. Regarding the probability of going to vote on June 9 in the elections to the European Parliament, 53.3% assure that they will do so “with all probability.” These and other data are found in the study 'Opinions and attitudes towards the European Union' which is available on our website (www.cis.es). The field work was carried out from April 9 to 13, with a sample of 3,750 interviews. For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.