The PSOE would be the most voted force, more than two points behind the Popular Party.
Madrid, 12 July 2024

The CIS conducted its July poll, including the usual questions such as vote estimates and ministerial assessments. The PSOE would be the leading force with 32.9% of the vote, the PP would be at 30.2%, VOX at 12.2%, SUMAR at 6.6%, and Podemos at 4%.

69.9% of those who voted in the general elections on July 23, 2023, would vote for the same party or coalition they voted for in the next election. Another 15.7% say they would vote for a different party or coalition.

Preferences over leaders

Regarding the preference for Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez is the favorite with 26.5% of the votes, 13.5% prefer Alberto Núñez Feijóo, 6.8% prefer Santiago Abascal, and 4.7% prefer Yolanda Díaz.

Among those surveyed, the gaps widen: 42.6% of those surveyed who gave their opinion prefer Pedro Sánchez as Prime Minister, 20.9 points ahead of Feijóo, whom 21.7% prefer. In third place is Santiago Abascal, with 10.9%, followed by Yolanda Ayuso, with 7.5%, and Isabel Díaz Ayuso, with 5.9%.

Regarding the leaders' ratings, Pedro Sánchez received a 4.32, Núñez Feijóo a 4.04, Yolanda Díaz a 4.09, and Abascal a 2.88. Regarding the ministers' ratings, Economy Minister Carlos Cuerpo received the highest rating, with a 5.22, and Defense Minister Margarita Robles, with a 5.13, was the second highest.

Global problems

64.1% of respondents say they pay "a lot or quite a lot" of attention to news coming out of other countries, while 33.3% say they pay "little or none."
36.7% of the population believes that "wars and armed conflicts" are the main problem today, "poverty and inequality between poor and rich countries" is the second problem for 34%, and the climate crisis for 11.2%.

64.8% say they are "very or quite concerned" about Russia's invasion of Ukraine. 18.1% say they are "somewhat concerned" and 16% "a little or not at all concerned."

65.5% say they are “very or quite concerned” about the war in the Middle East, 18.6% “somewhat concerned,” and 14.4% “a little or not at all concerned.”

Furthermore, 76.8% believe that Spain should cooperate internationally to help less developed countries, compared to 18.9% who believe it should not. Addressing this issue, 66.2% believe the State should first guarantee "the well-being of the Spanish people and then that of other countries." However, 31% believe it should help these countries through projects.
70.9% of Spaniards are "very or quite a lot" concerned about the climate crisis. And 27.5% are "a little or not at all" concerned.

Economic situation

65.4% of Spaniards consider their current personal financial situation to be very good or good, compared to 22.8% who say it is bad or very bad. When asked about Spain's overall economic situation, 35.9% consider it "very good or good" and 55.1% "very bad or bad."

Regarding the three main problems affecting Spaniards, 27.7% say "the economic crisis and economic problems" are the most pressing, 16.6% say "healthcare," and 15.8% say problems related to the quality of employment.

These and other data are collected in the July barometer, conducted from July 1 to 4 with 4,007 interviews. The complete data can be found on the website of the Center for Sociological Research (www.cis.es).