- 22 JAN 2026
The CIS pre-election survey on the Aragonese regional elections indicates that the PP is the party with the highest probability of votes, with 35.3%, the PSOE would obtain 26.7%, VOX would reach 15.1%, CHA 6.9%, IU-Movimiento SUMAR would get 5%, Podemos-AV 2.5% and Teruel Existe 2.2%. Regarding the distribution of seats, the PP would move within a range of 25 to 29 seats, the PSOE between 17 and 23, VOX would be between 10 and 13 seats, CHA could achieve between 3 and 5 seats, IU-Movimiento Sumar from 1 to 3, Podemos-AV would get one or none and Teruel Existe from 1 to 2 seats. Situation in Aragon 62.9% of Aragonese people say that the current situation in Aragon is “very good or good”, 26.7% say that it is “bad or very bad” and 9.5% think that it is “fair”. Compared to two and a half years ago, 36.9% think that the general situation in Aragon is the same, 31.1% say that it is “worse or much worse” and 30.3% say that it is “better or much better”. Main problems 22.1% think that housing is the main problem for the people of Aragon - well ahead of healthcare - which they mention as the second problem (13.8%), and the depopulation of rural Spain is in third place with 9.1%. Management of the Aragonese government 39.5% rate the management of the Aragon government as "very good or good", 36.7% as "fair", and 22.5% as "bad or very bad". Interest in the upcoming elections 48.2% of those surveyed say they are following the news and issues related to the Aragonese elections with "a lot or quite a bit of interest", while 49.8% say they are following them with "little or no interest". 63.6% say that when voting in the upcoming regional elections, the most important issues will be those specific to Aragon, while 26.5% say that general issues affecting Spain are what matters most to them. 8.5% say that both are equally important to them. Reasons or motives for voting Regarding the main reason or motive that motivates or influences their vote in these elections, 45.3% of Aragonese people indicate that it is "the party's ideas and proposals", 28.7% that "it has done a good job in the past", and 23.3% will vote to "try to prevent right-wing parties or candidates from winning". Political party for which he/she feels the most sympathy 25.2% of those surveyed who gave their opinion indicated that the political party they feel the most sympathy for is the PSOE, followed by the PP with 25%, the CHA with 9.2% and VOX in fourth position with 9%. Who do you think will win the elections and who would like to 74.9% of those surveyed believe the PP will win these elections. Regarding who they would like to see win, 32.2% say the PP, 25.4% the PSOE, 12.2% Vox, and 5.9% the CHA. Low voter loyalty 54.1% of Aragonese residents say they vote for one party or another, or don't vote at all, depending on what convinces them most at the time. 22.1% always vote for the same party, and 19.8% generally vote for the same party. Moment of the voting decision 53.3% of those surveyed decide which party or coalition they will vote for well before the start of the election campaign. 18.3% decide during the last week of the campaign. 13.5% at the beginning of the election campaign. 6.5% on election day itself. And 6% during the day of reflection, the day before the elections. The pre-election survey for Aragon was conducted from January 12th to 15th with a total sample of 3,313 interviews. The complete data is available to all interested parties on the CIS website.