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A virtual tie between the PP and PSOE in the regional elections of Castilla y León
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Madrid, 20 February 2026
  • The PP would be the leading political force with 33.4% of the votes, followed closely by the PSOE (32.3%).
  • 43.6% of the people of Castile and León say that the current situation in Castile and León is “bad or very bad”
  • 37.5% rate the management of the government of Castilla y León as "fair", and 36.8% as "bad or very bad"
  • 38.6% indicate that “the party’s ideas and proposals” is the main reason that motivates them to vote
  • 17.6% think that “the depopulation of rural Spain” is the main problem in the region.
  • 13.6% of voters decide who to vote for during the day of reflection or on the day of going to the polls.

The CIS pre-election poll for the regional elections in Castile and León indicates that the PP is the party with the highest projected vote share, at 33.4%, followed by the PSOE with 32.3%. VOX would reach 16.1%, UPL would remain at 4.9%, IU-Movimiento SUMAR-VQ at 5.1%, and Podemos would be at 3.1%.

Regarding the distribution of seats, the PP would move within a range of 28 to 38 seats, the PSOE between 26 and 35, VOX would be between 11 and 19 seats, UPL could achieve between 2 and 4 seats, IU-Movimiento SUMAR-VQ from 0 to 4, Podemos-AV would not get a seat, Por Ávila and Soria YA could achieve one seat each.

Situation in Castile and León

43.6% of the people of Castile and León say that the current situation in Castile and León is "bad or very bad", 42.8% say that it is "very good or good" and 12.5% think that it is "fair".

Compared to 4 years ago, 46.6% think that the general situation in Castilla y León is the same, 37.4% say that it is “worse or much worse” and 14% think that it is “much better or better”.

Main problems

17.6% think that “the depopulation of rural Spain” is the main problem in the community - well ahead of healthcare - which they mention as the second problem (12.9%), and unemployment, which is in third position with 8.9%.

37.5% rate the management of the government of Castilla y León as "fair", 36.8% as "bad or very bad", and 24.8% as "very good or good".

Interest in the upcoming elections

50% of those surveyed say they are following the news and issues related to the elections in Castile and León with "little or no interest", while 47.3% say they are following them with "a lot or quite a bit of interest".

61% say that when voting in the upcoming regional elections, the most important issues will be those specific to Castile and León, while 29.5% say that general issues affecting Spain are their primary concern. 7.7% say that both are equally important to them.

Reasons or motives for voting

Regarding the main reason or motive that motivates or influences their vote in these elections, 38.6% of the people of Castile and León indicate that it is "the ideas and proposals of the party", 34.4% say that it is "the economic and social situation", and 23.1% will vote for "because it is the party that is most capable of managing the autonomous community".

Presidential preferences

As for who they prefer to be president of the community, Fernández Mañueco is the favorite for 38.3% of those surveyed who mention a candidate, followed by Carlos Martínez (30.2%) and in third place Carlos Pollán with 13.7%.

Who do you think will win the elections and who would like to

79% of those surveyed believe the PP will win these elections. Regarding who they would like to see win, 29.1% say the PP, 28.8% the PSOE, 13.5% Vox, and 4.4% IU-MS-VQ.

Low voter loyalty

49.1% of those surveyed stated that they vote for one party or another, or do not vote at all, based on what convinces them most at the time. 24.1% always vote for the same party, and 22% generally vote for the same party.

Government management

55.4% of those surveyed decide which party or coalition they will vote for well before the start of the election campaign. 18.6% decide during the last week of the campaign. 9% at the beginning of the election campaign. 7.5% on election day itself. And 6.1% during the day of reflection, the day before the election.

The pre-election survey for Castile and León was conducted from February 6 to 13 with a total sample of 8,039 interviews. The complete data is available to all interested parties on the CIS website.

Esta información puede ser usada en parte o en su integridad sin necesidad de citar fuentes.

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