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Informative note on the progress of the results of the Pre-electoral regional elections 2019. Valencian Community
Madrid, 11 April 2019
Nota informativa
The current government coalition could revalidate its majority in the Valencian Community.
According to the CIS pre-election survey, the PSOE-PSPV would be the most voted force, achieving 30.9% in voting intention.
Madrid, April 11, 2019 . The pre-electoral survey on the autonomous elections of the Valencian Community on the 28th indicates that the PSOE-PSPV is the party with the highest voting intention, with 30.9%, Compromís would obtain 16.9% of the votes, Ciudadanos would reach 16%, the Popular Party would keep 15.4%, Unides Podem-EUPV 8.3% and VOX, which would enter Les Corts, would get 6.5% of the votes.
Regarding the projection of the distribution of seats, the PSOE-PSPV would move in a range between 33 and 36 seats, the PP between 18 and 19, Compromís would be between 17 and 18 seats, Ciudadanos between 16 and 19, Unides Podem- EUPV would obtain between 7 and 8, and VOX could achieve up to 5 or 6 seats.
The two main government options that are currently emerging are: a government led by the PSOE-PSPV, or a government formed by PP, Ciudadanos and VOX.
PSOE-PSPV, first force in the three provinces
The Valencian socialists would achieve first position in Castellón, Valencia and Alicante. In Castellón, where the results are closer, the scenario would be the following: the PSOE-PSPV would obtain between 7 and 8 seats, the Popular Party between 6 and 7 seats, Ciudadanos between 4 and 5 seats, Compromís would repeat with 4 seats, Unides Podem-EUPV would obtain between 1 and 2 seats, and VOX would obtain one seat.
In Valencia the PSOE-PSPV would obtain between 13 and 14 seats, the Popular Party would obtain 6 seats, Compromís would obtain between 9 and 10, Ciudadanos between 6 and 7, Unides Podem-EUPV about 3, and VOX would obtain 2 seats.
And in Alicante the Valencian socialists would obtain between 13 and 14 seats, the Popular Party about 6 seats, Compromís would stay with 4, Ciudadanos could achieve between 6 and 7 seats, Unides Podem-EUPV about 3, and VOX would move between 2 and 3 seats.
Indecision
74.9% of Valencians have assured that they will go to vote “with complete certainty” on April 28 and 11.9% have responded that “they probably will.” Of that electorate that will go to vote, 60.1% have responded that “they have already decided on their vote” and 38.7% that “they have not decided.” The high number of undecided people means that many seats cannot be assigned accurately at this time.
These and other data are collected in the pre-election survey carried out in the Valencian Community between March 15 and 24, - with a sample of 1,373 interviews - which is available to all media on the website of the Center for Sociological Research ( www.cis.es).
For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25.
Esta información puede ser usada en parte o en su integridad sin necesidad de citar fuentes.
C/ Montalbán, 8
28014 Madrid
Email: comunicacion@cis.es
Tlf.: 91.580.76.25
Fax: 91.531.81.31
