Technical tie between PSOE and PP, while VOX rises to 18.9%.
Madrid, 11 July 2025

The CIS conducted its monthly poll with the usual questions about voting intentions, assessments of leaders, and other current issues such as the NATO summit at the end of June and international conflicts.

In July, the PSOE is expected to reach an estimated 27% of the vote, while the Popular Party is expected to obtain 26.5%, VOX 18.9%, Sumar 7.8%, and Podemos 4.4%.

Assessment of political leaders and preference as president

Pedro Sánchez is the highest-rated political leader with an average score of 3.99, followed by Yolanda Díaz with 3.97; Alberto Núñez Feijóo with 3.83; and Santiago Abascal with 3.15.

Regarding preference for Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez is the favorite for 34.4% of those surveyed who give their opinion, 17 points ahead of Alberto Núñez Feijóo who is the favorite for 17.4%, with the same percentage as Santiago Abascal (17.4%), Isabel Díaz Ayuso for 8.8% and Yolanda Díaz for 5.6%.

Assessment of ministers

The Minister of Social Rights, Pablo Bustinduy, is the highest-rated member of the entire Executive branch with a 5.13, followed by the Minister of Economy, Carlos Cuerpo, with a 5.04, and, in third place, the Minister of Defense, Margarita Robles, with a 4.62.

NATO

54.9% of Spaniards support Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's decision to limit defense spending to 2.1% of GDP, while 29.5% agree with Donald Trump's demand that all member states allocate 5% of their GDP. A further 10.7% disagree with either option.

Furthermore, 57.5% support the Spanish government's refusal to comply with the US president's demands, while 34.7% believe it should comply.

58.4% believe each party should defend what it deems appropriate, while 34.6% believe all parties should support Pedro Sánchez's decision regarding NATO.

72.8% of respondents knew that allocating 5% of GDP would entail sharp tax increases and significant reductions in wages and social spending, and 18.9% said they didn't know what it would entail.

International conflicts

77.1% say they are "very or quite concerned" about the bombings that have taken place between Israel and the US and Iran, 12.8% say they are "a little or not at all" concerned, and 8.9% say they are "somewhat" concerned.

Regarding the war in the Middle East, 70.1% say they are “very or quite concerned,” 12.7% “a little or not at all,” and 15.1% say they are “somewhat concerned.”

Problems in Spain

The main problem currently existing in Spain, according to those surveyed, is housing (30%), followed by corruption and fraud, which is the main problem for 25.3%, and immigration, which is the main problem for 18.4%.

When asked about the problems that personally affect respondents, the economic crisis and economic problems are in first place for 24.9%, housing (22.5%) and healthcare in third place for 22.1%.

Economic situation

65.1% of Spaniards consider their current personal financial situation to be very good or good, compared to 23.5% who say it is bad or very bad.

When asked about Spain's overall economic situation, 39.4% consider it very good or good, compared to 51.3% who say it is very bad or bad.

These and other data are collected in the barometer conducted from July 1 to 7, with 4,018 interviews. The complete data can be found on the website of the Center for Sociological Research (www.cis.es).