The PSOE is almost 10 points ahead of the PP in voting intentions
Madrid, 16 February 2026

  • The PSOE (32.6%) leads the PP (22.9%) by 9.7 points, according to the CIS monthly barometer.
  • 82.3% of Spaniards believe that the Constitution has contributed to the development of social rights in Spain, and 75.3% to economic prosperity and improvements in employment.
  • Only 13.8% propose reforms to the model of the State (Monarchy vs Republic), while 86.2% do not mention them.
  • 76.5% of Spaniards have a “bad or very bad” opinion of the President of the United States, Donald Trump
  • Housing remains the main problem in Spain for 42.8%

According to the CIS February barometer, the PSOE would now obtain 32.6% of votes, the PP would remain at 22.9%, VOX at 18.9%, SUMAR at 7% and Podemos at 3.9%.

Pedro Sánchez is the highest-rated political leader with an average score of 4.23; followed by Yolanda Díaz with 3.97; Alberto Núñez Feijóo with 3.45; and Santiago Abascal with 2.97.
Pedro Sánchez is the favorite as Prime Minister for 39.7% of those surveyed who give their opinion, taking a 23.7 point advantage over Santiago Abascal who is the favorite for 16% and is in second position ahead of Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who is the favorite for 15.6%, Gabriel Rufián for 6.6%, Isabel Díaz Ayuso for 5.3% and Yolanda Díaz for 4.9%.

Constitution of 1978: the longest-lasting in the history of Spain

The Spanish Constitution of 1978, which this February became the longest-lasting in the history of Spain (something that 49.2% of Spaniards knew), is considered by 82.3% as a Constitution that has contributed to the development of social rights in Spain, to economic prosperity and improvements in employment in Spain (75.3%), and to Spain having a more prominent role in Europe and the world (71.6%).

37.3% believe that the Constitution can help solve the problems we currently have, while 58.1% do not believe that it can.
The most significant aspects of the current Constitution for Spaniards are positive. First, "that it guarantees freedom" (31.8%), followed by "that it allows conflicts to be resolved peacefully" (21.2%), and "that it was approved by almost everyone's agreement" (15.6%).

84.3% believe that the current Spanish Constitution needs some reform, of which 66.5% think major reforms are necessary, and 32.1% think minor reforms. Regarding the areas where reforms are thought to be necessary, 22.1% cite "social, economic, and labor rights" as the primary concern, followed by 14.5% as the secondary concern; this is followed, at a considerable distance, by "the form of government (Monarchy vs. Republic)," with 10.9% as the primary concern and 5.6% as the secondary concern. This represents only 13.8% of all respondents, indicating that the remaining 86.2% do not raise this issue.

Next are mentioned territorial issues (10.1% and 6.2%), guarantees of transparency in political activity (8% and 5.3%), issues related to Justice and defense rights (7.3% and 5.2%), participation and the electoral system (7.1% and 4.47%), and the rights and freedoms of citizens (5.7% and 5.6%).

However, there is less public awareness on very relevant and current issues, such as immigration (2.5% and 2.6%), gender equality (2.2% and 1.6%), new technologies (0.6% and 0.3%) and issues related to European integration (0.2% and 0.3%) or the environment (0.2% and 0.3%).

Trump and geopolitics

Meanwhile, on the international stage, CIS data indicates that 76.5% of Spaniards currently have a "bad or very bad" opinion of the current President of the United States of America, Donald Trump, while 15.7% have a "very good or good" opinion and 3.8% a "fair" one.

Regarding Donald Trump's attempt to annex Greenland, 83.5% are against it. Furthermore, 79.5% believe Trump poses a threat to world peace.

Regarding arrests, attacks on migrants and other acts of violence, 67.4% say that democracy is being endangered in the United States itself.

Problems in Spain

According to those surveyed, Spain's main problem is housing (42.8%), followed by immigration (20.3%), and the economic crisis and economic problems (18.1%).

The problems that Spaniards consider to affect them most personally are housing (27.6%), which climbs to first position compared to last month; the economy (25.8%), and health (22.9%).

Personal and general economic situation

63.5% of Spaniards consider their current personal economic situation to be “very good or good,” compared to 26.2% who say it is “bad or very bad.” Regarding the overall economic situation in Spain, 37.6% consider it “good or very good,” compared to 55.4% who consider it “bad or very bad.”

Russia's invasion of Ukraine and war in the Middle East

70.7% of those surveyed feel “very or quite worried” about Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, 15.4% say “little or not at all” and 11.6% are “somewhat worried”.

Regarding the war in the Middle East, 66.2% feel "very or quite worried", 16% say they are "not worried" or "not worried at all", and 15.6% say they feel "some" worry.

These and other data are collected in the barometer carried out from February 2 to 6 with 4,027 interviews.

Esta información puede ser usada en parte o en su integridad sin necesidad de citar fuentes.

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