The People's Party would win the elections in Extremadura, but would need VOX to govern.

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• According to the CIS pre-election poll, the PP would win between 25 and 29 seats, the PSOE between 19 and 22, Vox between 10 and 12, and Podemos between 6 and 7 seats.
• 55.4% of those surveyed say they vote for one party or another, or do not vote, depending on what convinces them most at that moment.
• 24.2% say that “the party’s ideas and proposals” are the main reason that motivates them to vote in these elections
• 13% of voters will decide which party to vote for during the day of reflection and on election day itself.

The pre-election survey on the regional elections of Extremadura indicates that the PP is the party with the highest estimated vote share, with 38.5%, the PSOE would obtain 31.6% of the votes, VOX would reach 17.3%, and Podemos-IU-AV 9.6%.

Regarding the projected distribution of seats, the PP would move within a range of 25 to 29 seats, the PSOE between 19 and 22, VOX would be between 10 and 12 seats and Podemos-IU-AV could achieve up to 6 or 7 seats.

Situation in Extremadura

42.8% of Extremadurans rate the current situation in Extremadura as "very good or good", 41.5% say it is "bad or very bad" and 14.6% think it is "fair".

Compared to two and a half years ago, 34.3% think that the general situation in Extremadura is the same, 32.7% say that it is “worse or much worse” and 31.6% say that it is “better or much better”.

Main problems

19.2% think that unemployment is the main problem for the people of Extremadura, infrastructure - such as trains and tolls - is the biggest problem for 15.1%, and healthcare is in third place for 7.8%.

Management of the Extremadura government

37.8% rate the management of the Extremadura government as "fair", 35.7% as "very good or good", and 25.9% as "bad or very bad".

52% of those surveyed say they are following the Extremadura elections with "a lot or quite a bit of interest" and 45.7% say with "little or no interest".

74.5% say that when voting in the upcoming regional elections, the most important issues will be those specific to Extremadura, while 17.5% say that general issues affecting Spain are their primary concern. 6.7% say that both are equally important to them.

Assessment of Extremaduran leaders

María Guardiola is rated with an average of 5.63, Miguel Ángel Gallardo achieves 3.68, Óscar Fernández 3.60, Irene de Miguel 4.10 and Raúl Fernández, 3.87.

Presidential preferences

The current president of the community, María Guardiola, would be the favorite for 37.3% of those surveyed, followed by Miguel Ángel Gallardo with 21%, Óscar Fernández with 10.5%, Irene de Miguel with 8.5% and Raúl González with 1.1%.

Reasons or motives for voting

Regarding the main reason or motive that motivates or influences their vote in these elections, 24.2% of those surveyed say it is "the party's ideas and proposals", 16.9% answered that it is "the electoral program", and 15% will vote to "try to prevent right-wing parties or candidates from winning".

Political party for which he/she feels the most sympathy

19% of those surveyed indicated that the political party they feel the most sympathy for is the PSOE, followed by the PP, 15%, Podemos-IU-AV 3.2% and Vox 2.9%.

Who do you think will win the elections and who would like to

58.3% of those surveyed believe the PP will win the elections, 20.7% the PSOE, and 3.5% Vox. Regarding who they would like to see win, 34.8% say the PP, 27.9% the PSOE, and 14.7% Vox.

Electoral loyalty

55.4% of those surveyed stated that they vote for one party or another, or do not vote at all, depending on what convinces them most at the time. 24.9% always vote for the same party, and 16% generally vote for the same party.

Moment of the voting decision

52.7% of those surveyed decide which party or coalition they will vote for well before the start of the election campaign. 19.1% decide during the last week of the campaign. 12.1% at the beginning of the election campaign. 7% on election day itself. And 6% during the day of reflection, the day before the election.

The pre-election survey for Extremadura was conducted from November 21st to 25th with a total sample of 2,037 interviews. The complete data will be available to all media outlets on the CIS website.