CIS - Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas

The PSOE consolidates itself as the first political force in an open scenario before 28-A

• According to the CIS macrobarometer carried out between March 1 and 18, 76.3% of the electorate has assured that they will vote “with complete certainty” on April 28
• The high number of undecided people - a third of those surveyed “have not yet decided” which party to vote for - means that many seats cannot yet be allocated.

Madrid, April 9, 2019 . The pre-election survey on the April 28 elections indicates that the PSOE is the party with the highest voting intention, with 30.2%, the Popular Party would be second with 17.2%, Ciudadanos would reach 13.6% of the votes, followed by Unidas Podemos with 12.3% and VOX, which would enter Parliament with 11.9%.

Regarding the projection of the distribution of seats, the CIS estimates that the PSOE would move in a range between 123 and 138 seats, the PP between 66 and 76 seats, Ciudadanos between 42 and 51 seats, Unidas Podemos would obtain between 28 and 34 seats and VOX could achieve between 29 and 37 seats.

The two main government options that are currently emerging are: a government led by the PSOE, or a government formed by PP, Ciudadanos and VOX.

Undecided

76.3% of those surveyed have assured that they will vote “with complete certainty” on April 28. Of that electorate that has answered that they will go to vote, 57.8% have assured that “they have already decided on the party” and 41.6% that “they have not decided yet.” The high number of undecided people means that many seats cannot be distributed accurately.

When the undecided were asked “Between which parties or options do you hesitate?”*, 11.9% hesitated between PP and Ciudadanos, 9.1% debated between PSOE and Podemos, and 8.9% between PSOE and Ciudadanos. .

These and other data are collected in the macrobarometer carried out between March 1 and 18, - with a sample of 16,194 interviews - which is available to all media on the website of the Center for Sociological Research (www.cis.es ).

(*We attach two graphs on the parties among which the undecided doubters and the total number of respondents who doubt between various parties)

For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25.

Esta información puede ser usada en parte o en su integridad sin necesidad de citar fuentes.

C/ Montalbán, 8
28014 Madrid
Email: comunicacion@cis.es
Tlf.: 91.580.76.25
Fax: 91.531.81.31

Press release Chart Advance on study results