CIS - Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas

The CIS barometer for November presents data on vote estimation

• The PSOE would be the party with the most votes with 31.2% in terms of “the estimate of vote by sympathy”
• The PP, with 19.1%, and Ciudadanos, with 18.2%, remain statistically tied
• The increase in possible abstention and political uncertainty points to a foreseeable drop in participation

Madrid, December 5, 2018 . The barometer for the month of November from the Center for Sociological Research (CIS) has collected, among other issues, the estimate of vote plus sympathy in percentage of vote for candidates. The four parties that would lead the survey are the PSOE with 31.2%, the PP with an estimate of 19.1%, statistically tied with Ciudadanos with an estimate of 18.2% and Unidos Podemos which would have 11.9 %.

In Comú Podem it would add 2.8%, Compromís-Vamos-EUPV 2.4% and En Marea 0.9%. For its part, ERC would have 4.8%, PDeCAT with 0.8%, EH Bildu would have 1%, EAJ-PNV 0.7% and CC-PNC 0.3%. As for the parties without parliamentary representation, PACMA would gather 2.1%, VOX 2.5% and the rest of the parties would add 1.4%.

Regarding the direct vote in the survey , to the question: "Assuming that general elections were held tomorrow, that is, to the Spanish Parliament, which party would you vote for?" 19.4% of the people surveyed assured that they would vote for the PSOE , 11.5% to the PP, 11.4% to Ciudadanos and 7.2% to Unidos Podemos.

Thus, En Comú Podem would have 1.8%, Compromís-Vamos-EUPV with 1.4%, En Marea with 0.6%, ERC with 3.2%, PDeCAT with 0.5%, EH Bildu with 0.7%, EAJ-PNV with 0.4% and CC-PNC would have 0.2%.

Regarding the parties without parliamentary representation, PACMA would gather 1.4%, and VOX 1.7%. The rest of the parties would add 0.8%.

The blank vote would represent 4%, the null vote 0.8%, abstention (would not vote) 11.4%, 18.6% have chosen the “don't know” option and 2.9% that of “does not answer”.

It must be taken into account that this barometer was carried out between November 1 and 11 , before the electoral campaign began in Andalusia.

These and other data are collected in the November barometer, which is available to all media on the website of the Sociological Research Center (www.cis.es).

This study contains the usual fixed questions of the monthly barometers on the political and economic situation, and citizen perception of the main problems in Spain. Spanish public opinion on climate change, the legalization of marijuana and time change are studied as significant and current topics this month.

For more information:
Sociological Research Center (CIS)
communication Department
Telephone: 91 580 76 25 / comunicacion@cis.es

Esta información puede ser usada en parte o en su integridad sin necesidad de citar fuentes.

C/ Montalbán, 8
28014 Madrid
Email: comunicacion@cis.es
Tlf.: 91.580.76.25
Fax: 91.531.81.31

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