CIS - Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas

The PSOE would be the most voted force in the municipal elections, according to the pre-election survey

• In the 8 main mayors of Spain in which the CIS has estimated the vote, all their mayors could revalidate their mandate
• The field work was carried out from April 10 to 26 and has a sample of 21,973 interviews

Madrid, May 11, 2023 . The CIS has carried out a pre-election survey on the occasion of the municipal and regional elections on May 28. For this purpose, the center has had a large sample of 21,973 interviews that have been carried out from April 10 to 26 throughout Spain.

The vote estimate for the municipal elections has been made based on the national total. The PSOE would manage to be the first force with 31.7%, the PP 27.3%, Podemos and its confluences would reach 7.9% and VOX would reach 6.8%.

Big cities

Regarding large municipalities, the CIS has estimated the vote and the interval of councilors for 8 Spanish cities.

In the case of the mayor of Barcelona , En Comú Podem would be the party with the most votes with 24.8% and could have between 11 and 13 councilors. The PSC would be the second option for Barcelona residents and would achieve 22.5% and 10 to 12 councillors. Junts would be the third party with the most votes with 17.3% and could have 8 to 9 councilors, and Esquerra Republicana would obtain 13.2% and 6 to 7 councilors.

In Bilbao the PNV would be the first force with 36.4% of the votes and would have 11 to 13 councilors. EH Bildu would obtain 19.7% of the votes and 5 to 7 councilors and the PSOE would be the third force with 17% of the votes and could have 5 to 6 councilors.

As for the mayor of Madrid , the PP would obtain 38% of the votes and 21 to 25 councilors, Mas Madrid, which would be the second force, would have 26.7% and 13 to 18 councilors and the PSOE, with 16% of the votes, could have 8 to 11 councilors.

In Seville the PSOE is the first party with 39.6% of the votes and could have 14 to 15 councilors. The PP would obtain 33% and 12 to 13 councilors and Con Andalucía would obtain 9.7% and 3 councilors.

In Valencia , Compromís would be the first force with 30.4% and would obtain 11 to 12 councillors, the PP would remain at 29% with 10 councilors and the PSOE would be the third force with 19.5% and 7 councillors.

In Valladolid , the PSOE is the first force with 37.6% and would have 11 to 12 councilors, the PP with 33.2%, would achieve 9 to 11 councilors and Valladolid Takes the Word would be the third force with 13, 6% of the votes.

In Vigo it continues to be a socialist fiefdom with an absolute majority. The PSOE would achieve 65.6% of the votes and obtain 18 to 21 councilors.

In Zaragoza the PP would be the first force with 36.4% and would obtain 12 to 14 councillors, the PSOE would obtain 26.9% and would have 9 to 10 councillors, and Zaragoza en Común and VOX would obtain similar results with 8 .6% of the votes.

Autonomous communities

In Aragon the PP could be the first force with 36.2% and achieve 24 to 28 seats, the PSOE would remain the second force with 31.1% of the votes (24 to 26 seats). Vox would manage to be the third force with 7.3% and Podemos Alianza Verde would remain at 6.4% of the votes.

In Asturias, the PSOE reaches 36.7% of the votes, the PP 27.3% and in third position would be VOX with 9.1%. Podemos Asturies would achieve 8% of the votes.

In the Balearic Islands the PSOE would be the first force with 31.5% and the PP would remain in second position with 26.1%. VOX would reach 13.6%, MÉS 10.8% and Unidas Podemos 7.4%.

In the Canary Islands the PSOE would reach 33% of the votes, the PP would remain at 20% and Unidas Sí Podemos would be the third force with 9.8% of the votes.

In Cantabria the PP would be the first option with 31.8% (12-13 seats), the PSOE would achieve the second option with 22.2% and 8 to 9 seats, and the PRC would remain as the third force with 19 .2% and 6 to 7 seats.

In Castilla-La Mancha the PSOE would obtain a large victory with 47.2% of the votes (16 to 22 seats), the PP would remain at 28.1% and would have 9 to 11 seats.

In Extremadura, the PSOE would also be the first force with 40.6% of the votes (28 to 29 seats) and the PP would obtain 35.9% and 24 to 26 seats.

In the Community of Madrid the PP would be the first force with 45.2% of the votes and could have 61 to 70 councilors and Mas Madrid would be the second force with 21.4% of the votes and could obtain 29 to 70. 30 councilors. The PSOE would be the third force with 17.3% and would have 19 to 26 councilors.

In Murcia the PP is the first force with 36.2% (17 to 18 seats), the PSOE second option with 30.5% (14 to 16 seats) and VOX would be the third force with 16.8% of the votes. votes.

In Navarra, UPN would be the first option with 21.5% of the votes and would have 10 to 13 councillors, the PSOE would achieve 18.8% and 9 to 12 councillors, and Geroa Bai would be the third force with 16 .6% of the votes.

In La Rioja, the PP would be the first force with 39.2% of the votes, the PSOE would be the second option with 36.8% and in third position would be Podemos and Izquierda Unida with 9.9%.

In the Valencian Community the PP would be the first political force with 30.7% of the votes and could obtain 31 to 36 seats, the PSOE would remain at 29% and have 30 to 34 seats, and Compromís as the third force would achieve 18.5% of the votes.

For any questions, the Communication telephone number is 91 580 76 25 / 664 470 083.

Esta información puede ser usada en parte o en su integridad sin necesidad de citar fuentes.

C/ Montalbán, 8
28014 Madrid
Email: comunicacion@cis.es
Tlf.: 91.580.76.25
Fax: 91.531.81.31

Press release Advance on study results