CIS - Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas

• The Popular Party would obtain 29.2% of the estimated vote.
• 75% of respondents are in favor of the EU increasing its own defense capacity and 67.8% are in favor of creating a European army.
• 77.2% believe that the relationship that has existed between the United States and the European Union will change since Donald Trump became president again.
• Housing is the main problem in Spain according to 28.4% of respondents.

The CIS conducted its monthly survey with the usual questions, including voting intentions, assessments of leaders, international conflicts, and Donald Trump's presidency in the United States, among other issues.

In March, the PSOE (Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) is projected to reach 34.5% of the estimated vote, followed by the Popular Party (PP) with 29.2%. Vox is projected to achieve 11.7%; Sumar is projected to achieve 7.6%; and Podemos is projected to achieve 3.8%.

Assessment of political leaders and preference as president

Pedro Sánchez is the highest-rated politician with an average score of 4.12, followed by Yolanda Díaz with 3.88; Alberto Núñez Feijóo with 3.78; and Santiago Abascal with 2.77.

Regarding preference for Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez is the favorite for 44.8% of those surveyed, ahead by 26.7 points over Alberto Núñez Feijóo (18.1%), Santiago Abascal (11.3%), Isabel Díaz Ayuso (9%), and Yolanda Díaz (5.6%).

Defence capacity and creation of a common army in the European Union

57.8% of the population believes that the European Union lacks the capacity to defend itself against aggression from other countries.

Seventy-five percent of voters are in favor of the EU increasing its own defense capacity. By age group, those aged 55 to 64 are most in favor of increasing defense capacity (77.9%), followed by young people aged 18 to 24 (77.3%). Based on vote recall, PP voters are the most likely to believe the EU should increase its own defense capacity (90.6%), followed by Vox voters (79.5%) and PSOE voters (76.3%).

67.8% of Spaniards are in favor of creating a common army within the European Union. By political party, PSOE voters are the most in favor of creating a European army (76.2%); among the PP, 75.7%.

US-European Union Relations

77.2% of respondents believe that the relationship between the United States and the European Union will change since Donald Trump returned to the presidency. Only 11.8% believe it will remain as it was.

Regarding how this change will affect the EU, 62.1% believe it will be "bad or very bad" for the European Union, and 48.6% believe it will be "bad or very bad" for the United States. Eleven percent say it will be "very positive or positive" for the EU, and 20.9% believe it will be "very positive or positive" for the United States.

65.9% say they are "very or quite concerned" about Russia's invasion of Ukraine, while 18.9% say they are "a little or not at all concerned." Regarding the war in the Middle East, 60.4% say they are "very or quite concerned," while 20.1% say they care "a little or not at all."

74.9% of citizens are currently very or quite concerned about climate change, while 27.2% say they are slightly or not at all concerned.

Problems in Spain

The main problem currently facing Spain, according to those surveyed, is housing (28.4%), followed by the economic crisis, which is the main problem for 20.4%, and unemployment in third place for 20.4%.

When asked about the problems that personally affect respondents, the economic crisis and economic problems are in first place for 30.9%, housing in second place (21.8%) and healthcare in third place for 21%.

Economic situation

63.2% of Spaniards consider their current personal financial situation to be very good or good, compared to 25.5% who say it is bad or very bad.
When asked about Spain's overall economic situation, 36.1% consider it very good or good, compared to 55% who say it is very bad or bad.

These and other data are collected in the barometer conducted from February 28 to March 7 with 4,018 interviews.

Press release