The PSOE, with 33.4% of the votes, is the leading political force.
Madrid, 13 February 2025
Nota Informativa
- The PP achieves 28.1% in the estimated vote and becomes the second force
- 70.9% of Spaniards believe that Trump's presidency will negatively affect the Spanish economy.
- 56.5% of citizens do not believe that the displacement of Palestinians is an appropriate way to end the conflict in Gaza.
- Housing is the main problem in Spain according to 34.1% of respondents.
The CIS conducted its monthly survey with the usual questions, including voting intentions, assessments of leaders, international conflicts, and Donald Trump's presidency in the United States, among other issues.
In February, the PSOE (Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) is projected to win 33.4% of the vote, the PP 28.1%, VOX is projected to be the third-largest party with 13.3%, and SUMAR is projected to remain at 6.4%. Podemos is projected to win 4.4%.
Assessment of political leaders and preference as president
Pedro Sánchez is the highest-rated politician with an average score of 4.13, followed by Yolanda Díaz with 3.96; Alberto Núñez Feijóo with 3.61; and Santiago Abascal with 2.85.
Regarding preference for Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez is the favorite for 43% of those surveyed, ahead by 26.7 points over Alberto Núñez Feijóo (16.3%), Santiago Abascal (11.9%), Isabel Díaz Ayuso (10%), and Yolanda Díaz (7.1%).
Donald Trump's presidency and its consequences for the Spanish economy
69.6% of Spaniards believe that the Trump presidency in the United States will have a "great or significant" impact on the Spanish economy. 17.8% say it will have a "little or no" impact. And 1.9% say it will have a "some" impact.
Furthermore, 70.9% say it will have a negative impact, while only 9.8% believe it will have a positive impact on the economy. Sumar (92.4%) and PSOE (83.6%) voters are the most likely to believe it will have a negative impact on the economy. However, the majority of PP (68.2%) and Vox (53%) voters also believe it will have a negative impact on the Spanish economy, albeit at a lower rate.
Proposal for a resolution to the war in Ukraine
The US president has spoken about ending the war in Ukraine and reaching agreements with Russia and Ukraine without the European Union. On this issue, 44.2% of Spaniards "slightly or not at all in agreement," while 20.2% "strongly or quite in agreement."
Displacement of Palestinians
Regarding Trump's proposal to relocate Palestinians to other nearby countries to end the war in Gaza, 56.5% of citizens do not believe this is a way to end the conflict, and only 7.3% believe it is.
Climate change
75.3% of citizens are currently very or quite concerned about climate change, while 23.5% say they are slightly or not at all concerned.
Furthermore, 58.6% believe Trump's policies will have a "great or significant" impact on the climate crisis, while 30.4% believe they will have a "small or no" impact.
Problems in Spain
The main problem currently facing Spain, according to those surveyed, is housing (34.1%), followed by the economic crisis, which is the main problem for 20%, and unemployment in third place for 20%.
When asked about the problems that personally affect respondents, the economic crisis and economic problems are in first place for 30.1%, housing in second place (22.2%) and healthcare in third place for 19.4%.
Economic situation
62.5% of Spaniards consider their current personal financial situation to be very good or good, compared to 26.1% who say it is bad or very bad.
When asked about Spain's overall economic situation, 37.1% consider it very good or good, compared to 54.5% who say it is very bad or bad.
These and other data are collected in the barometer conducted from January 31 to February 6, with 4,042 interviews.